
國民黨推動普發現金加碼至2萬元,立法院已將特別條例草案逕付二讀並交付協商,預計最快11月17日三讀。行政院長卓榮泰表示已編列AI紅利1萬元預算,不會造成排擠或舉債,但警告若在野黨不顧國家財政,行政院將別無選擇。去年大罷免經驗顯示普發議題影響選情,執政團隊擔心接受藍營加碼將助長國民黨選情並損害國家財政永續性。
AI-generated summary
去年726大罷免後,民進黨內部檢討普發現金議題是敗因之一,行政院曾大轉彎決定不覆議,賴總統於8月1日公告編入普發經費的特別條例。今年國民黨推動加碼至2萬元,立法院在其人數優勢下將條例逕付二讀。
國民黨為搶救選情加碼普發現金2萬元,立法院會昨(16)日將相關的特別條例草案逕付二讀並交付協商,依議事時程,最快11月17日就能交付立法院會處理,若立院當天就把三讀法案送到總統府與行政院,政院就被迫在選前一天、即11月27日,表態是否「不副署」,此是否影響民進黨選情,備受關注。
總統賴清德8月17日宣布明年普發現金1萬元,在歲入歲出平衡、實質零舉債的前提下,編入明年度的總預算;國民黨則喊加碼至2萬元,並在10月14日的中常會要求立院黨團,在選前三讀通過,立法院昨在國民黨人數優勢下,將「全民共享經濟成果及穩定民生特別條例草案」逕付二讀並交付朝野協商,加速闖關進度。
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行政院長卓榮泰昨晚受訪時表示,行政院已排定了AI紅利1萬元的相關預算,這不會造成排擠,也沒有舉債,是政府依財政能力。如在野黨完全不顧國家財政、敗壞國家財政,「大家知道行政院的做法只有一種」。卓揆的說法被外界解讀為不會執行藍營的普發加碼。
不過,去年726大罷免前,對於普發現金,卓揆坦言「內心交戰」,最後「大罷免、大失敗」,普發現金議題被民進黨內檢討是慘敗的原因之一,在罷免投票短短5天後,行政院大轉彎,7月31日決定不覆議,賴總統也於8月1日正式公告編入普發經費的「因應國際情勢強化經濟社會及民生國安韌性特別條例」。
據分析,由於去年大罷免的經驗,此次普發現金2萬元議題,被認為牽動年底的選情。府院黨已多次沙盤推演,唯恐普發議題影響洋流帶動的綠營整體氣勢。不過,若接受藍營勒索,最後收割是國民黨,等於助攻藍營選情,受傷的卻是執政團隊與國家財政,未來施政被在野牽著鼻子走,面對2028總統與立委大選,藍白恐變本加厲。
行政院已一再重申,普發現金的三原則:不排擠其他政策、實質零舉債、程序合法合憲。據了解,執政團隊將強化空戰與輿論攻防,讓民眾了解行政院的AI紅利普發1萬元與藍營加碼2萬元的差別,以及加碼後對國家財政永續、公共建設與政策推動的影響,畢竟「羊毛出在羊身上」,亂開選舉支票最終還是要由全民買單。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
立法院將在11月17日前完成普發現金加碼條例的三讀程序
Likely · Within days
行政院將在條例三讀後評估是否副署,但財政壓力下不排除使用行政資源爭取時間
Possible · Within weeks

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