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Back童子賢看台股慘跌2》台美「長多」實力不會動搖
童子賢看台股慘跌2》台美「長多」實力不會動搖
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自由时报34 minutes agoBusiness3 min readChinaView translation

童子賢看台股慘跌2》台美「長多」實力不會動搖

美國期中選舉結果引發市場對AI產業政策轉向疑慮,和碩董事長童子賢從產業基本面提出「長多」看法,強調科技是維護美國國力的關鍵。

Quick Look

和碩董事長童子賢針對美國期中選舉結果引發的台股重挫與AI政策疑慮提出長多看法,強調科技與能源為美國國力根本,台灣30年科技製造實力難被取代,且川普期中選舉失利有望改變極限施壓風格。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

美國期中選舉結果引发市場對人工智慧(AI)產業政策轉向的疑慮,台股因而出現重挫。

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童子賢認為,川普在期中選舉慘敗後,更可以期待他改變對外國產業採取「極限施壓」的不理性風格。

美國期中選舉結果引發市場對人工智慧(AI)產業政策轉向的疑慮,台股今日重挫,和碩董事長童子賢卻從產業基本面提出「長多」看法,強調科技不僅支撐美國經濟,更是維護美國基本國力的關鍵,無論政黨如何輪替,都不可能輕易放棄高科技與能源產業,而台灣累積30年的科技製造實力,更是全球數位產品供應鏈不可或缺的重要支柱。

童子賢指出,美國的富裕建立在高科技與能源產業的領先地位,科技既是經濟成長動能,也是維繫國家競爭力的基礎。即使民主黨掌控國會多數席次,也「不能、不敢、不會」把支撐美國基本國力的高科技及能源產業作廢,否則下一次面臨選舉失利的就可能是民主黨。

針對市場擔憂民主黨掌控國會將不利AI產業發展,童子賢直言「這是過慮了」,認為民主黨人較多建制派、溫和派,反而可以將美國政策走向穩健、理智,視為另一項「長多」因素。

談及川普期中選舉失利,童子賢認為,川普挑動荷姆茲危機,造成油價及物價上漲,加上長期「白人至上敵視移民」,使亞裔、拉丁裔選票背離,都是選舉挫敗的原因,其他還包括「川皇至上」的堅持,蔑視媒體、羞辱大學,甚至派遣國民兵橫行,長期累積民怨,最終「報應到期中選舉上」。

童子賢說,相關政治因素造成的衝擊,不應與美國科技產業的長期競爭力混為一談,至於台灣的「長多」,關鍵在於過去30年紮實建立的零件組件、半導體及系統設備製造能力,無論未來AI發展,或現有網路通訊、電腦、智慧手機、衛星、電動車及智慧醫療等領域,台灣產業都已深度參與。

童子賢表示,「全世界需要數位產品,都缺少不了台灣這個重要夥伴」,凸顯台灣在全球科技供應鏈的地位,並非短期政治局勢變化就能輕易取代。川普在期中選舉慘敗後,更可以期待他改變對外國產業採取「極限施壓」的不理性風格,至少減少「台灣偷走了美國晶片產業」等刺耳且無聊的論述,對台灣而言「未嘗不是長多」。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 川普在期中選舉慘敗後可能改變對外國產業極限施壓風格

    Possible · Within months

Open Questions

  • 美國新一屆國會對AI產業的具體政策為何?
  • 台股何時能消弭政治變局帶來的短期賣壓?

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