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Back股匯兩樣情!台股強勢反攻逾2000點、新台幣一度重貶1.69角
股匯兩樣情!台股強勢反攻逾2000點、新台幣一度重貶1.69角
BREAKING
自由时报29 minutes agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

股匯兩樣情!台股強勢反攻逾2000點、新台幣一度重貶1.69角

美股晶片股反彈與國安基金穩市帶動台股,但美元走強使新台幣匯價承壓

Quick Look

台股受美股晶片股反彈、國安基金啟動穩市及金管會限空措施帶動,大漲逾2000點重返41000點;新台幣兌美元早盤下探至32.937元,重貶1.69角,隨後收斂貶幅。市場關注12月聯準會升息機率及本週美國通膨數據,輝達董事會亦將調查黃仁勳成為中國間諜目標一事。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

美股晶片股反彈帶動台股,國安基金啟動穩市、金管會限空措施上路;同時美國非農就業優於預期,市場押注12月聯準會升息,美元走強。本週市場聚焦美國10月CPI、PPI通膨數據及聯準會理事華勒演說。輝達董事會亦將調查黃仁勳成為中國間諜目標一事。

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股匯兩樣情!台股強勢反攻逾2000點、新台幣一度重貶1.69角 (記者陳梅英攝)

〔記者陳梅英/台北報導〕美股晶片股反彈,加上國安基金啟動穩市、金管會限空措施上路,帶動台股反攻,目前大漲逾2000點,重返41000點,不過新台幣兌美元匯率一方面消化上週五外資賣超,再則美非農就業優於預期,市場押注12月聯準會升息,美元走強,新台幣早盤先是下探至32.937元,隨後又回到32.8元價位。

上週五美國晶片股急彈、台積電ADR上漲6.33%,激勵台股週一大漲,不過,美國非農業業新增16.5萬人、失業率降至4.1%,數據公佈後,市場對於Fed 12月升息1碼機率接近8成,使美元指數再度走揚,美債殖利率也一度回升。

匯銀主管表示,上週五新台幣匯價貶破33元後,出口商大舉進場,使新台幣匯價由貶翻升,不過,短線匯價走勢仍由外資主導,由於外資上週五賣超台股近千億元,部分外資採T+1方式,資金在週一上午匯出,使新台幣匯價早盤開低,盤中最低觸及32.937元、重貶1.69角,隨著台股強勢反攻,也有部分外資匯入,匯價貶幅隨後收斂,午後匯價是否進一步止穩,仍要看外資動向以及出口商拋匯情況。

另外,本週市場聚焦美國10月CPI、PPI等通膨數據發布以及Fed理事華勒的經濟展望演說。華勒先前表示,若經濟數據符合預期,仍有進一步升息必要。在10月非農就業優於預期後,市場將觀察他是否釋出更明確的12月升息訊號,以及如何評估油價回落對通膨的影響。

輝達董事會將對黃仁勳成為中國間諜目標啟動調查,也是各界關注焦點。董事會表示,目前沒有理由認為美國國家安全或輝達的機密受到侵害,後續市場反應仍待觀察。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 新台幣匯價短期將繼續受外資動向及出口商拋匯情況影響,波動持續

    Likely · Within days

  • 市場將持續關注聯準會12月升息機率及美國通膨數據

    Likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 新台幣匯價午後是否能進一步止穩
  • 聯準會理事華勒是否會釋出更明確的12月升息訊號
  • 輝達董事會調查黃仁勳間諜目標一事的具體進展與結果

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