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BackLee Ming-hsien talks about the Taipei mayoral election: Attack and defense on drug issues are still a front-line battle, and Shen Boyang's "Ocean Current" is hardly as thick as the "Korean Wave" in 2018
Lee Ming-hsien talks about the Taipei mayoral election: Attack and defense on drug issues are still a front-line battle, and Shen Boyang's "Ocean Current" is hardly as thick as the "Korean Wave" in 2018
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自由时报45 minutes agoPolitics2 min readChinaView original

Lee Ming-hsien talks about the Taipei mayoral election: Attack and defense on drug issues are still a front-line battle, and Shen Boyang's "Ocean Current" is hardly as thick as the "Korean Wave" in 2018

Quick Look

  • Taipei City Councilor Lee Ming-hsien of the KMT revealed in a political commentary program that he saw in the council members’ internal group that a council member first posted Shen Boyang’s drug-related article from 12 years ago, but it was unclear who found it in the first place.
  • He believes that the current attack and defense of Jiang Wanan and Shen Boyang on the drug issue is still a "call for battle before the battle" in the early stage of the election campaign, and the formal battle has yet to be discussed in the follow-up.
  • Li Mingxian analyzed that the election campaign needs to take into account both the basic base and the median voters, and Jiang Wanan is building an organizational base.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

The Taipei mayoral election is about to begin. The Kuomintang has nominated Chiang Wanan to run, while the Democratic Progressive Party has Shen Boyang running. The two parties began to attack and defend past issues in the early stages of the election campaign. Among them, Shen Boyang published a drug-related article 12 years ago and became the focus of the issue.

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The battle between the blue and green in the Taipei mayoral election is heating up. Chiang Wanan recently launched a war against DPP Taipei mayoral candidate Shen Boyang for his drug-related articles from 12 years ago. Kuomintang Taipei City Councilor Lee Ming-hsien appeared on the political commentary program "News!" today. Ask? " Talking about this matter, he revealed that he saw in the internal members' group that "some members found the article first and posted it", but he said he did not know who found the original information.

Li Mingxian said that the message he saw was "the member came out first" and the article was posted to the group first by the member, but there was no way to confirm who originally found the original article. He believes that the past statements of politicians will be tested. This time the attack and defense on the drug issue between Jiang Wanan and Shen Boyang is currently more like a "call before the battle" in the early stages of the election campaign. The real formal battle will still have to wait until the follow-up debate and the formal confrontation between the two armies.

Please read on...

Li Mingxian also analyzed that in addition to consolidating the blue-green basic base, the election campaign also needs to win over middle-of-the-road and free voters. Therefore, Jiang Wanan is currently actively deploying support clubs, local campaigning and campaign organizations, all of which are building an organizational base. In the future, he will further win over middle-level voters and a "vision base."

Talking about the establishment of Shen Boyang's campaign headquarters and whether the so-called "ocean wave" may surpass the "Korean Wave" in 2018, Lee Ming-hyun believes that the political atmosphere condensed by the two is different. He analyzed that the Korean Wave back then was more like the atmosphere of leading the Kuomintang to counterattack, while Shen Boyang's current atmosphere is closer to the political cohesion formed after last year's general recall.

Li Mingxian believes that Shen Boyang does have the basic base of the Democratic Progressive Party, certain spillover effects, and the ability to mobilize. However, if compared with the Korean Wave back then, the "thickness" is still different, and the Korean Wave was still relatively penetrating back then. He also believes that Shen Boyang's momentum cannot be simply defined as completely natural or completely artificial, it is both.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • In the subsequent debate, the drug issue will become one of the main offensive and defensive focuses of Jiang Wanan and Shen Boyang

    Likely · Within weeks

  • Jiang Wanan will continue to strengthen the construction of support clubs and local momentum to win the support of central voters

    Very likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • Who was the first person to post Shen Boyang’s drug-related articles in the internal parliamentarian group?
  • Does Chiang Wanan’s camp have plans to further focus on drug issues in subsequent debates?
  • Will Shen Boyang publicly respond or explain the content of his article 12 years ago?
  • Just how sensitive is the median voter to such issues of past rhetoric?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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