Breaking
CNNorth Korea fires short-range ballistic missiles toward east coast, South Korea saysDESaudi Arabia closes east-west pipeline after drone attacks from IraqCN"East! Take Me Away" Taitung Seaside Park International Landmark Music Festival debuts with Du Dewei's finale performanceDEBush announces retaliation after terrorist attack on September 11, 2001RUExplosions in Krivoy Rog and Zaporozhye, air raid alert in Dnepropetrovsk and Zaporozhye regionsCNPolice surveillance vehicle data leaked online; drug traffickers use search engines to identify vehiclesRUA political scientist from Australia announced non-payment of salaries to 90% of foreign mercenaries of the Armed Forces of UkraineDENvidia is considering a billion-dollar entry into the Anthropic IPOCNThe northeast monsoon has picked up after weakening and will strengthen again on Monday, affecting the weather in the northCNTaobao's 'Uglies' Trend Drives 230 Million Yuan in Sales as Young Chinese Consumers Embrace Quirky GoodsCNNorth Korea fires short-range ballistic missiles toward east coast, South Korea saysDESaudi Arabia closes east-west pipeline after drone attacks from IraqCN"East! Take Me Away" Taitung Seaside Park International Landmark Music Festival debuts with Du Dewei's finale performanceDEBush announces retaliation after terrorist attack on September 11, 2001RUExplosions in Krivoy Rog and Zaporozhye, air raid alert in Dnepropetrovsk and Zaporozhye regionsCNPolice surveillance vehicle data leaked online; drug traffickers use search engines to identify vehiclesRUA political scientist from Australia announced non-payment of salaries to 90% of foreign mercenaries of the Armed Forces of UkraineDENvidia is considering a billion-dollar entry into the Anthropic IPOCNThe northeast monsoon has picked up after weakening and will strengthen again on Monday, affecting the weather in the northCNTaobao's 'Uglies' Trend Drives 230 Million Yuan in Sales as Young Chinese Consumers Embrace Quirky Goods
BackFrance’s Economy and Finance Minister lowers 2026 growth forecast to 0.5%
France’s Economy and Finance Minister lowers 2026 growth forecast to 0.5%
Developing
中国新闻网57 minutes agoBusiness1 min readChinaView original

France’s Economy and Finance Minister lowers 2026 growth forecast to 0.5%

Quick Look

  • French Minister of Economy and Finance Lescure said that due to factors such as municipal elections, domestic political uncertainty, the war in the Middle East, the fuel crisis, and the ecological crisis, France's economic growth forecast for 2026 has been lowered from 0.7% to 0.5%, and said that the public deficit target of 5% of GDP cannot be achieved.
  • The French National Institute of Statistics and Economic Research also lowered its growth forecast for this year to 0.4%, and expects France to return to moderate growth before the end of 2026.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

The French economy was expected to grow by 0.7% in 2026, but this was revised down due to multiple factors. The French National Institute of Statistics and Economic Research also took a pessimistic view of the economic outlook, pointing out that French growth lags behind its neighbours.

Font size

China News Service, Paris, September 11 (Reporter Li Yang) French Minister of Economy and Finance Lescure said on the 11th local time that France's economic growth forecast for 2026 has been lowered from 0.7% to 0.5%.

Lescure held a press conference that day to explain the performance of the French economy. He listed the main factors affecting current economic activities, including French municipal elections that have affected the pace of local investment; domestic political uncertainty in France dragging down the economic slowdown; the war in the Middle East and the fuel crisis are far from over; and the ecological crisis has impacted the economy.

Lescure described the French economy's "uncertainty" as unprecedented. He said that it is no longer possible to achieve the goal of controlling the public deficit at 5% of GDP in 2026. He also reiterated the need for France to complete the formulation and review of the 2027 budget as soon as possible.

On the 10th, the French National Institute of Statistics and Economic Research lowered its forecast for French economic growth this year from 0.7% to 0.4%. The report released by the agency is not optimistic about the French economic prospects, believing that compared with the good performance of the economies of neighboring countries such as the United Kingdom, the French economy has stagnated. The report cites the example of France facing a more severe heat wave impact than its neighboring countries, with agriculture in particular suffering a blow. The report predicts that France will return to moderate growth by the end of 2026.

The agency also pointed out that France's inflation rate reached 2.4% in August and may rise to 2.9% by the end of the year; natural gas prices will rise significantly by the end of the year, pushing up the inflation rate. Rising energy prices will also affect prices of manufactured goods and operating costs in industries such as transportation. (over)

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • France to return to moderate growth by end of 2026

    Possible · Within months

  • France needs to complete the preparation and review of the 2027 budget as soon as possible

    Very likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • What specific measures will the French government take to deal with the slowdown in growth?
  • Will political divisions arise during the 2027 budget development process?
  • How specifically will rising energy prices affect manufacturing and transportation?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by 中国新闻网.

Related Stories

International oil prices fell on Friday but rose by more than 8% this week. Shipping disruptions in the Middle East pushed diesel prices to a record high
Developing·

International oil prices fell on Friday but rose by more than 8% this week. Shipping disruptions in the Middle East pushed diesel prices to a record high

International oil prices fell on Friday (11th), but rose by more than 8% this week; U.S. diesel prices hit a record high due to attacks on shipping routes in the Middle East. Brent crude oil futures closed at US$104.61 per barrel, and WTI closed at US$100.05 per barrel. Ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz dropped sharply, and the market was worried about continued supply disruptions.

自由时报
2 min read
Japan's 3COINS first store in Taiwan Ximending Eslite Life Wuchang store opens, launching limited offers and Taiwan exclusive products
Developing·

Japan's 3COINS first store in Taiwan Ximending Eslite Life Wuchang store opens, launching limited offers and Taiwan exclusive products

The Japanese lifestyle groceries brand 3COINS’ first physical store in Taiwan officially opened on September 12 at the Eslite Lifestyle Wuchang store in Ximending, Taipei. It covers an area of ​​approximately 112 square meters and sells regular Japanese products and Taiwan-limited items. It is also available on the momo shopping website. The opening event includes the first 50 customers receiving free Logo wheel cakes, as well as a 799 yuan opening limited lucky bag, limited to 100 sets per day, which contains 7 items including a backpack travel mobile phone holder. The brand pointed out that according to duty-free sales data from June to July 2026, Taiwanese tourists ranked first in Japanese duty-free stores in terms of number of purchases, showing clear brand recognition and market demand.

自由时报
2 min read
U.S. inflation continues to be high, U.S. stocks rebound from decline, market expects the Fed to raise interest rates
Developing·

U.S. inflation continues to be high, U.S. stocks rebound from decline, market expects the Fed to raise interest rates

The annual growth rate of the U.S. consumer price index in August was still 3.4%, and the core CPI increased by 0.3% month-on-month, indicating that inflation has not declined. The market expects that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at next week's meeting and may start a rate hike cycle. U.S. stocks stopped falling and rebounded after interest rate expectations became clear, with the Dow Jones index rising 509.19 points. At the same time, the Iran conflict continues to push up oil prices, with Brent and WTI crude oil remaining above $100 per barrel. Former Fed Vice Chairman Clarida believes that if interest rates are raised more than once. Trump planned to nominate Wash to replace Powell as chairman of the Federal Reserve, but due to the impact of the Iraq War, Wash's stance has turned hawkish.

中央社
2 min read
Investment institutions: Taiwan’s semiconductor supply chain is complete and will become an important beneficiary market of the AGI wave
Developing·

Investment institutions: Taiwan’s semiconductor supply chain is complete and will become an important beneficiary market of the AGI wave

Investment institutions pointed out that with the launch of the new GPT-6 AI model on September 3, the AGI era is accelerating. Taiwan has a complete semiconductor supply chain and will become an important beneficiary market. History shows that Taiwanese stocks tend to hit lows in September, and there will be opportunities to expand after October. Analysts recommend investing in AI-related industries, especially in the fields of advanced manufacturing, packaging and memory. It is expected that the peak season in the fourth quarter will drive the performance of technology stocks.

自由时报
2 min read
Fluctuations in the Korean won's exchange rate have caused the price of luxury goods in Korean duty-free shops to invert. The recent appreciation has restored the duty-free advantage.
Developing·

Fluctuations in the Korean won's exchange rate have caused the price of luxury goods in Korean duty-free shops to invert. The recent appreciation has restored the duty-free advantage.

Affected by the sharp fluctuations in the Korean won exchange rate, there has been a rare phenomenon that imported boutiques in Korean duty-free shops are more expensive than department stores. Taking the Dior Lady Bag Mini as an example, it was about 11.7% more expensive when purchased in duty-free shops three months ago. With the recent appreciation of the Korean won, the same bag is now about 150,000 won cheaper in duty-free shops. Duty-free operators also frequently adjust their base exchange rates. Lotte, Shilla, Shinsegae and Hyundai have adjusted their base exchange rates from 1,400 won to 1,350 won per U.S. dollar to cope with exchange rate fluctuations and maintain price competitiveness.

自由时报
2 min read
Investment advisory agency: Taiwan stocks need more bullish drivers to regain the 47,000 level
Developing·

Investment advisory agency: Taiwan stocks need more bullish drivers to regain the 47,000 level

Investment advisory institutions pointed out that Taiwan stocks are insufficiently funded and more bullish drivers are needed to regain the 47,000 level. Foreign capital was oversold, volume was reduced, and small and medium-sized stocks retreated deeply. It is recommended to lay out the core AI supply chain and low price-to-earnings ratio stocks. It is estimated that the market range next week will be between 45,000 and 48,000 points.

自由时报
2 min read
More on this topicFrench economy