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Back香港将2026年经济增长预测上调至4.8%
香港将2026年经济增长预测上调至4.8%
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中国新闻网16 minutes agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

香港将2026年经济增长预测上调至4.8%

Quick Look

香港特区政府经济顾问范婉儿宣布,受外贸增长及内需稳健推动,2026年第三季度香港实质本地生产总值同比增长5.2%,全年增长预测上调至4.8%,创五年来同期最快增速。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

香港特区政府定期发布经济报告,评估本地生产总值及各项经济指标表现。

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中新社香港11月13日电 香港特区政府经济顾问范婉儿13日表示,在对外贸易进一步加快增长及内部需求稳健的支持下,香港经济在2026年第三季度强劲扩张,全年经济亦有望录得强劲表现,特区政府将2026年全年香港实质本地生产总值增长预测向上修订至4.8%。

特区政府同日公布的数据显示,2026年第三季度香港实质本地生产总值同比增长5.2%,与预先估计相同,第二季度为同比增长4.2%。2026年前三季度香港实质本地生产总值同比增长5.1%,是5年来同期最快的增速。

11月13日,香港特区政府经济顾问范婉儿(中)在记者会上展示《2026年第三季经济报告》。(香港特区政府新闻处供图)

整体货物出口方面,第三季度同比实质增长加快至30.3%,反映全球对人工智能相关电子产品的需求殷切,带动贸易往来畅旺。服务输出同比实质扩张4.3%,所有主要服务组别的输出续见增长。

内部需求方面,私人消费开支在第三季度同比实质上升2.9%,连续第六个季度录得扩张。整体投资开支增速加快,同比实质进一步上升7.5%。

资产市场在第三季度大致稳定。香港股票市场方面,恒生指数在第三季季末较6月底上升7.6%,表现优于多个其他市场的主要指数。住宅物业市场方面,整体住宅售价在第三季度内大致稳定,交投量维持相对稳健,与五年平均水平相近。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 2026年全年实质本地生产总值增长将达到4.8%

    Likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • 全球贸易环境变化对未来出口的影响程度如何?

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This article was originally published by 中国新闻网.

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