
A news report on financial market developments in France, India and the Saudi logistics sector
Declines in French stocks due to debt fears and protests, expectations of an acceleration in debt issuance in India before raising interest, and record growth in train passengers and freight in Saudi Arabia in 2025.
AI-generated summary
French markets are facing political pressure due to violence, protests and budget debate, while Indian companies are seeking to raise financing early.
Debt issuance by Indian companies is likely to accelerate, and may hit a record level before the end of the year, as borrowers seek to tap debt markets ahead of an expected increase in interest rates, bankers said.
State-owned companies with high credit ratings, as well as companies financing large acquisitions, may continue the momentum witnessed in debt issuance during the first nine months of the year.
Indian companies had raised about 8.5 trillion rupees ($89.70 billion) through private placements by the end of September. Last month alone saw the issuance of bonds worth 1.43 trillion rupees, the highest monthly total in more than six years, according to Prime Database data.
Bankers expect this momentum to continue, putting this year’s issuances on track to exceed last year’s record level of 11.2 trillion rupees.
“We expect issuance volumes to remain strong, and supply could see a record level this year, barring unexpected fluctuations,” said Akshay Naik, head of debt capital markets in India at Citi.
He added: “We are communicating with a number of medium and large companies that are preparing to enter the bond market for the first time, and are closely monitoring the market to seize the appropriate timing for the issuance.”
Companies accelerated their fundraising in September, including through two large bond issuance deals carried out by Reliance Industries, which does not frequently resort to the debt market, in an effort to stabilize financing costs before an expected rise in borrowing costs.
The Indian central bank raised interest rates by 25 basis points this month, indicating the possibility of further increases.
Investors widely expect another rate hike in December, with the increase likely to reach 50 basis points. Analysts said that companies are seeking to advance their borrowing plans to an earlier date, in anticipation of a rise in interest rates in the coming period.
“Some borrowing advances have already begun, and this trend is expected to continue through October and November,” said Nishchay Nath, founder and CEO of Bond Scanner, an electronic bond trading platform.
He added that borrowers with high credit ratings, including state-owned companies, financial institutions operating across India, and major non-bank lending institutions, will continue to head to the market, in light of continued strong demand from investors for debt instruments with higher credit ratings.
The number of train passengers within cities in Saudi Arabia increased by 368 percent during the year 2025, reaching 145.4 million passengers, compared to 31.1 million passengers in 2024, according to railway transport statistics, issued by the General Authority for Statistics.
The total number of train passengers within and between cities increased to about 156.4 million passengers, compared to 42.7 million passengers in the previous year, an increase of 266.5 percent.
On the other hand, the number of passengers on intercity trains decreased by 5.6 percent to 10.9 million passengers, compared to 11.6 million passengers in 2024.
On a monthly basis, total passengers recorded their lowest levels in April at 10.8 million passengers, while reaching their highest levels in December at 15.9 million passengers.
Regarding passenger transport performance, total traffic reached 3.61 billion passenger-kilometres in 2025, a decrease of 3.1 percent, compared to 3.72 billion passenger-kilometres in the previous year.
The Haramain Express train accounted for 76 percent of the total performance, recording 2.74 billion passenger-kilometres, despite a decline of 6.1 percent.
In contrast, the performance of the East Train increased by 8.3 percent to 496 million passenger-km, and the North Train by 6.9 percent to 370 million passenger-km.
High freight and freight transportation
The performance of freight transport by rail increased by 3.6 percent during 2025, reaching about 17 billion tons-kilometres, compared to 16.43 billion tons-kilometres in 2024, while the quantities of freight transported reached 16.1 million tons, compared to 15.6 million tons in the previous year.
The Northern Railway accounted for 96.3 percent of the total freight transport performance, recording 16.37 billion ton-kilometres, an increase of 3.3 percent year on year. It also transported 14.4 million tons of goods, representing 89.7 percent of the total cargo quantities during the year.
The Northern Train shipments were distributed between 5.1 million tons of phosphate, 5 million tons of bauxite, 2.6 million tons of phosphoric acid, and 1.7 million tons of molten sulfur.
The train recorded the highest monthly freight quantity in March, at 1.3 million tons.
On the other hand, the performance of freight transportation on the Orient Train increased by 9.4 percent to 637 million tons-kilometres, compared to 582.1 million tons-kilometres in 2024. The train transported 1.7 million tons of goods, which included 782.8 thousand tons of limestone, 756.9 thousand tons of grain, and 117 thousand tons of cement.
The number of standard containers transported by rail also increased to 915.4 thousand containers in 2025. Container traffic recorded its highest monthly levels in March at 89.9 thousand containers, while the quantities of freight transported in tons reached its peak in December at 173.1 thousand tons.
Increase passenger and freight flights
The number of passenger train trips reached about 1.4 million trips during 2025, during which they covered a total distance of 42.3 million kilometers. The Riyadh Train took 949.4 thousand trips, with a total distance of 26.8 million kilometers.
In the freight sector, the number of trips increased to 8,885 trips, compared to 6,807 trips in 2024, and freight trains traveled about 6.1 million kilometers. The East Train carried out 5,918 trips, while the North Train recorded the largest distance traveled, amounting to 3.7 million kilometers.
In terms of punctuality, the Haramain Express Train recorded the highest rate of 97.8 percent, followed by the East Train with a rate of 96.1 percent, and then the North Train with a rate of 94.3 percent. Trip cancellation rates reached 0 percent for the East Train, 0.17 percent for the Haramain Express Train, and 0.35 percent for the North Train.
French stocks fell, Monday, as concerns escalated over public debt and borrowing costs, after the violence that the country witnessed during weekend protests brought political and social pressures back to the forefront, on the eve of Parliament’s vote on 2027 budget revenues.
The main CAC 40 index fell by 1.23 percent to 7,858.64 points by 09:40 a.m. local time, lagging the performance of European markets, at a time when the French index lost more than 3 percent since the beginning of the year, while the European Stoxx 600 index rose by more than 8 percent during the same period.
Concerns extended to the sovereign debt market, as the French ten-year bond yield rose to 4.85 percent, compared to the German yield falling to 3.41 percent. The spread between the two returns widened to 144 basis points, compared to about 137 basis points on Friday, reaching levels not seen since 2012, in a sign of increased investor caution towards the risks associated with French debt.
Deutsche Bank analysts warned that the violence may make international investors less willing to buy French government bonds, known as OAT, adding that the slight improvement witnessed in French yield spreads in recent days will be subject to a new test.
For her part, Kathleen Brooks, director of research at XTP, expected the difference to widen to about 150 basis points, in light of the accumulation of political and social pressures in conjunction with the government’s efforts to approve a budget that includes measures to control public finances during the coming year.
On Tuesday, the French National Assembly will vote on the revenues of the 2027 budget, which includes measures to correct public finances worth 43 billion euros, in an important political test for the government amid escalating living pressures.
The October 17 protests were followed by acts of looting, vandalism, and unrest in a number of French cities. According to the authorities, the events resulted in approximately 2,400 arrests and the injury of approximately 1,000 police and gendarmerie personnel. The network of French Chambers of Commerce and Industry also expected the number of directly affected stores to exceed two thousand, while trade and distribution sector federations estimated the cost of the damage at hundreds of millions of euros.
In the currency market, the euro fell by 0.26 percent to $1.1208, amid fears that the unrest will increase political pressure on the government and exacerbate uncertainty about the budget. Brooks warned that any increase in political support for forces opposed to the European Union may add new pressures on the single currency.
Banks, retail and tourism are in the losses
The wave of decline included most of the stocks included in the CAC 40 index, with the banking, retail, tourism, and commercial real estate sectors incurring noticeable losses.
“Stellantis” stock topped the losses, falling by 3.2 percent, followed by “Unibail Rodamco Westfield,” which specializes in shopping malls, with a decline of 3.05 percent, then the “Accor” hotel group, whose stock fell 2.84 percent.
Tire maker Michelin's shares also fell by 2.44 percent, and Carrefour's retail shares fell by 2.29 percent. Shares of major French banks fell, as Société Générale fell 2.16 percent, Credit Agricole 2.13 percent, and BNP Paribas 2.08 percent, while the insurance company AXA lost 1.56 percent.
The losses extended to the aviation and defense sectors, with Airbus shares falling 2.22 percent and Thales shares falling 2.18 percent.
On the other hand, Euronext shares, operator of the Paris Stock Exchange, rose by 1.61 percent, and Capgemini shares rose 1.28 percent, while Total Energies shares recorded limited gains of 0.42 percent.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Indian companies continue to accelerate debt issuances until the end of the year
Likely · Within months
The French National Assembly votes on 2027 budget revenues
Very likely · Within days

European stocks fell following the weekend protests in France and Spain, while India witnessed a trend of increasing debt issuance and Saudi Arabia's railways recorded growth in passenger and freight mass during the year.

The number of Saudi train passengers rose significantly in 2025 amid freight growth, while French stocks fell following violence and protests, and Gulf markets moved cautiously with tensions in the Strait of Hormuz.

French stocks and the sovereign debt market fell on Monday, as concerns escalated over public debt and borrowing costs following violence and protests, on the eve of Parliament’s vote on the 2027 budget.

Gulf stocks declined and Brent crude oil fluctuated amid Strait of Hormuz tensions, while the German industrial sector lost 500,000 jobs since 2019, and French bond yields rose following massive protests.

A study by the Ifo Institute reported that German industry has lost half a million jobs since 2019, coinciding with the rise in French bond yields following widespread unrest, and India is witnessing strong demand for the central bank’s first liquidity injection in months.

French bond yields rose amid internal turmoil faced by the government, coinciding with international warnings of an acceleration in global food prices until 2027 as a result of shipping crises, wars, and the El Niño phenomenon.