Britain's return to the EU could increase the influx of migrants by 214 thousand by 2030

The return of Great Britain to the European Union could increase the influx of migrants into the country by 214 thousand per year by 2030, the Telegraph reports, citing a study by the Reform UK party.

Analysts calculated the net increase in migrants using modeling, taking into account an increased influx from EU countries and a reduced influx from countries outside the bloc.

According to calculations, by 2025 the net increase in migrants could be approximately 204 thousand more people than in reality.

LONDON, October 5 - RIA Novosti. The return of Great Britain to the European Union could increase the influx of migrants into the country by 214 thousand per year by 2030, the Telegraph reports, citing a study by the Reform UK party.

“A return to the EU in 2028, assuming a recovery in migration flows within three years, would result in net migration increasing by around 214,000 people per year by 2030 compared to a scenario in which the UK remains outside the EU,” the material says.

Using modeling, analysts calculated what the net increase in migrants (the difference between those who arrived and those who left) would have been in 2021-2025 if Brexit had not happened. The model took into account an increased influx of migrants from EU countries and a reduced influx from countries outside the bloc. According to calculations, by 2025 the net increase in migrants would be approximately 204 thousand more people than in reality. The analysts then applied the same model to the period 2026-2030.