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Back金条卖脱销了?本轮购金有何不同?
金条卖脱销了?本轮购金有何不同?
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中国新闻网23 minutes agoBusiness3 min readChinaView translation

金条卖脱销了?本轮购金有何不同?

Quick Look

近期金价回落引发投资金条抢购潮。本文分析了美联储加息预期、地缘冲突及机构抛售对金价的影响,并指出当前购金需求呈现金融配置属性增强、轻克重产品受追捧的特点,零售市场现货供给持续紧张。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

11月初伦敦现货黄金价格较年内高点回落近三成。美联储政策转向紧缩及中东地缘冲突是影响金价的主要宏观因素。

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近期,黄金价格走势持续引人关注。11月初,伦敦现货黄金盘中一度跌到每盎司3900美元附近,较年内高点回落近三成。与此同时,“金价下跌为何金店反而没货可卖”等话题登上热搜,多地金店的投资金条出现脱销情况。今年金价为何明显回落?本轮购金需求有何不同?一起来看↓

问:金价为何明显回落?

答:本轮下跌,是多重因素共同作用的结果。

首要变量来自美联储,其政策取向自三季度起转为收紧,受此影响,10月下旬金价加速下行。11月6日公布的美国10月非农就业新增16.5万人,远超此前预期,故市场对12月美联储加息的预期随之走高,持续影响黄金市场走势。

其次中东地缘冲突推高油价,美国面临的输入型通胀压力抬升,强化了美联储加息预期,进一步对金价形成压制。

最后在交易层面,今年年初金价位于高位,大量投资者获利了结;此外,美股科技股股价回调,部分机构也采取抛售黄金方式来缓解流动性的压力。

问:目前市面上的投资金条销售情况如何?

答:记者在北京菜百总店了解到,11月初,线下30克以下投资金条曾出现售罄现象,线上20克至200克多个规格也一度无货。目前黄金零售市场整体处于现货供给紧张的状态,热门规格金条货源不稳定,缺货情况仍在持续。

投资金条紧俏,原因在于部分投资金条报价一度跌到八百多元一克,与金饰相比,价差感强烈。此外,5克、10克、20克的轻克重门槛低,再赶上“双十一”促销与年末备货,购买力在短时间内涌向同一批规格。

从供给端来看,大多商家按订单小批量补进,没有因为价格下跌就成倍放大库存,也导致了目前市场上暂时货源紧缺的情况。

问:本轮购金与以往有何不同?

答:本轮行情呈现明显分化特征,投资金条迎来投资者集中配置,金饰板块仅局部婚嫁刚需有所支撑,全国首饰消费整体走弱。

世界黄金协会调研显示,偏好10克以下轻克重产品的零售商占比,较去年有所提升。整体来看,买金正在被更多人当作资产配置选项,购金的金融需求显著抬升。不过,黄金价格波动较大,消费者还需结合自身实际需求与风险承受能力理性购买,不必盲目跟风。

Open Questions

  • 金条供应紧张状况何时缓解?
  • 美联储12月加息决策的具体影响程度?

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This article was originally published by 中国新闻网.

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