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BackNew Taipei City Mayoral Election Poll: Su Qiaohui and Li Sichuan Camps Point Each Other in the Lead
New Taipei City Mayoral Election Poll: Su Qiaohui and Li Sichuan Camps Point Each Other in the Lead
Politics
自由时报54 minutes agoPolitics2 min readChinaView original

New Taipei City Mayoral Election Poll: Su Qiaohui and Li Sichuan Camps Point Each Other in the Lead

Su QiaohuiLi SichuanMayor of New Taipei City

Quick Look

  • A poll commissioned by the Democratic Progressive Party of the New Taipei City Council showed that Su Qiaohui was leading Li Sichuan by 4.6%.
  • Li Sichuan's campaign office cited the TVBS poll commissioned by the Kuomintang League to counterattack, saying that Li Sichuan maintained a stable lead, and criticized the motives of Su Qiaohui's camp in conducting the poll on the day of the dispute.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

In the New Taipei City mayoral election, the Democratic Progressive Party and the Kuomintang camp commissioned different organizations to conduct polls, and data from both parties showed that the leaders were different.

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KMT New Taipei mayor candidate Li Sichuan. (File photo, taken by reporter Luo Guojia)

Taipei mayoral candidate Shen Boyang of the Democratic Progressive Party and New Taipei mayoral candidate Su Qiaohui gathered together to increase the popularity of the mayoral elections in the two cities. A poll commissioned by the Democratic Progressive Party of the New Taipei City Council by Shanshui Public Opinion Research Company found that Su Qiaohui's lead over KMT New Taipei City mayoral candidate Li Sichuan expanded to 4.6%. In response, Li Sichuan's campaign office responded that it respects Green Camp's own polling.

Li Sichuan's campaign office pointed out that it respects the polls conducted by Su Qiaohui's camp. According to the polls conducted by the New Taipei City Council's Kuomintang group, Li Sichuan continues to maintain a stable lead. Li Sichuan will continue to go deep into the 29th district and win the support of citizens and friends with concrete and thoughtful political opinions. As for the first day of polls conducted by Su Qiaohui's camp, Ms. Zhang Shujuan held a press conference and tearfully accused Su Qiaohui of being an accomplice in smear attacks and ruining people's reputations. Su Qiaohui did not even apologize for this. Instead, she immediately conducted polls for the sake of election sentiment on the same day. Her motives are difficult to understand.

According to a TVBS poll commissioned by the Kuomintang League of the New Taipei City Council, Li Sichuan's support is 39.8%, Su Qiaohui's 33.1%, and Li Sichuan leads by 6.7%. The polling time was from August 28th to 30th, 2015. The survey method is computer random sampling with two digits after the phone number, and personal telephone interviews. The effective sample is 1,224 New Taipei citizens over the age of 20. At the 95% confidence level, the sampling error is within ±2.8 percentage points.

A poll commissioned by the New Taipei City Council's Democratic Progressive Party group, Shanshui Public Opinion Research Company, showed that Su Qiaohui received 39.1% support, Li Sichuan's 34.5%, a gap of 4.6%; those who said they would definitely vote for Su Qiaohui, 48.7%, Li Sichuan's 39.3%, the gap widened to 9.4%.

The interview subjects were adults over 20 years old in New Taipei City. The sampling method used residential telephone users in the interview area as the sampling structure and random sampling with systematic sampling plus two digits. The interview date was from September 30 to October 1. There were a total of 1,226 people in the valid sample. The sampling error was about plus or minus 2.80 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. The weighting method was based on the Ministry of Interior’s demographics, weighting region, gender, age, and education level to conform to the parent structure.

Open Questions

  • Will there be any trend changes in subsequent polling data?

Related Topics

Su Qiaohui
PeopleLi SichuanZhang ShujuanShen Boyang
OrganizationsChinese KuomintangDemocratic Progressive PartyShanshui Public Opinion Research CompanyTVBS
PlacesNew Taipei City
TopicsLi SichuanMayor of New Taipei CitypollKuomintangDemocratic Progressive Party
This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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