Approval for President Lee Jae-myung's performance of state affairs has fallen slightly for the first time in three weeks... The approval rating gap between the Democratic Party and the People Power Party is 4.1%p, a close race within the margin of error for 7 consecutive weeks.
Quick Look
In a Realmeter survey, President Lee Jae-myung's approval rating for his performance of state affairs recorded 37.4%, down 0.5 percentage points from last week, and the approval ratings of the Democratic Party of Korea and the People Power Party were 42.5% and 38.4%, respectively, showing a difference of 4.1 percentage points, continuing a close race within the margin of error for seven consecutive weeks.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
There were positive factors in President Lee Jae-myung's performance of state affairs due to the recent announcement of policies for people's livelihood and welfare using excess tax revenue, but it is analyzed that trust has slightly decreased due to the controversy over the establishment of the Public Prosecution Office and the Serious Crimes Investigation Office and the appointment of Kim Ji-yong as head of the Central Investigation Office, the DMZ land mine explosion incident, diplomatic friction with Ukraine, and instability in rent in the metropolitan area.
Democratic Party 42.5%, National Power Party 38.4%... Close race ‘within the margin of error’ for 7 weeks in a row
(Seoul = Yonhap News) Reporter Park Jae-ha = A public opinion poll was released on the 5th showing that President Lee Jae-myung's approval rating for his performance of state affairs has fallen slightly for the first time in three weeks.
As a result of Real Meter's survey of 2,515 people aged 18 or older nationwide from the 28th of last month to the 2nd at the request of the Energy Economy News, the positive evaluation of President Lee's performance of state affairs was calculated to be 37.4%, down 0.5 percentage points from last week.
Negative evaluation was 59.8%, down 0.3 percentage points from the previous week. ‘I don’t know’ was 2.8%.
Realmeter analyzed that "there were positive factors such as the announcement of policies for people's livelihood and welfare using excess tax revenue worth 63 trillion won," but that "trust in government administration appears to have declined slightly as negative factors in personnel, security, and people's livelihood, such as the establishment of the Public Prosecution Office and the Serious Crimes Investigation Office and the controversy over the appointment of Kim Ji-yong as head of the Central Investigation Office, the DMZ land mine explosion incident, diplomatic friction with Ukraine, and instability in rent in the metropolitan area, had a greater impact."
By region, Gwangju, Jeollanam-do and Jeonbuk showed the highest decline, recording 57.4%, down 8.1 percentage points. In Busan, Ulsan, and Gyeongnam, it was also recorded at 35.1%, down 1.3 percentage points.
Daegu/Gyeongbuk (29.2%) and Daejeon/Sejong/Chungcheong (42.4%) rose 7.3%p and 2.4%p, respectively, from last week.
By age, it fell by 2.2% points and 2.0% points in those in their 30s (29.2%) and 50s (45.4%), respectively. Among those in their 20s, it rose slightly by 1.1 percentage points to 24.2%.
By ideological inclination, the conservative class dropped 2.2 percentage points to 14.1%, and the progressive class also dropped 1.1 percentage points to 54.4%. On the other hand, the middle class (42.7%) rose by 2.8% points compared to the last survey.
In a survey of political party support conducted on the 1st and 2nd among 1,009 voters over the age of 18 nationwide, the Democratic Party of Korea recorded 42.5% and the People Power Party recorded 38.4%.
The Democratic Party rose 3.8% points compared to the last survey, and the People Power Party fell 1.0% points.
The gap between the two parties is 4.1%p, continuing a close race within the margin of error (±3.1%p) for 7 consecutive weeks.
Regarding the rebound in the Democratic Party's approval rating, Realmeter explained, "The government's use of excess tax revenue worth 63 trillion won and policies to support people's livelihoods such as housing, jobs, and low-income finance are highlighted, and the positive perception of people's livelihood and welfare policies is believed to be due to the rallying of support mainly among moderates and progressives and those in their 30s and 40s."
Regarding the People Power Party, it was observed that "the security offensive surrounding the DMZ landmine explosion was seen as a political dispute and the strong stance of response, such as predictions of an off-site struggle, continued, resulting in a departure of moderates, which appears to have led to a slight decline."
By region, the Democratic Party rose by 12.0% points and 6.3% points in Daegu/Gyeongbuk (26.7%) and Busan/Ulsan/Gyeongnam (41.4%), respectively. On the other hand, the People Power Party recorded 50.4% and 41.2% in the same region, down 4.9 percentage points and 3.1 percentage points, respectively.
Among those in their 30s, the Democratic Party rose 11.5 percentage points to 41.9%, while the People Power Party's approval rating fell 7.5 percentage points to 37.5%.
Among those in their 20s, the Democratic Party rose 7.2 percentage points to 28.1%, and the People Power Party fell 6.8 percentage points to 47.5%.
The Fatherland Innovation Party recorded 5.2%, up 1.2 percentage points from last week. The New Reform Party is 1.5% and the Progressive Party is 1.3%. Other political parties were surveyed at 1.6%, and independents were at 9.5%.
The sampling error for the survey on approval of the president's performance of state affairs was ±2.0%p at the 95% confidence level, and the response rate was 3.9%. The sampling error for the party support survey was ±3.1%p at the 95% confidence level, and the response rate was 3.0%. Both surveys were conducted 100% wirelessly using an automated response method. For more information, refer to the National Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee website.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
If the Democratic Party of Korea's approval rating continues to rise, the gap with the People Power Party may widen further in the next survey.
Possible · Within weeks
The People Power Party can adjust its response tone to prevent the departure of moderates due to the security offensive being seen as a political dispute.
Possible · Within weeks
Open Questions
- What are the specific details of the people’s livelihood and welfare policy using excess tax revenue?
- What is the future outlook for the controversy over the establishment of the Public Prosecution Office and the Serious Crimes Investigation Office?
- Has the cause and responsibility for the DMZ land mine explosion been clearly revealed?







