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Back林得恩：西北太平洋同時有3個颱風活動，秋颱影響時間可能延後
林得恩：西北太平洋同時有3個颱風活動，秋颱影響時間可能延後
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自由时报14 hours agoEnvironment1 min readChinaView translation

林得恩：西北太平洋同時有3個颱風活動，秋颱影響時間可能延後

林得恩西北太平洋颱風

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台大大氣科學博士林得恩指出，西北太平洋目前有彩雲、諾洛及小熊三個颱風同時活躍，但移動方向均不朝向台灣，對台灣天氣無影響。他表示，今年截至目前已有28個颱風生成，並不算少，且小熊過後仍會有新颱風生成，秋颱影響時間可能延後。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

西北太平洋是全球颱風活動最頻繁的海域之一，台灣常受夏秋季颱風影響。林得恩為台大大氣科學博士，長期提供氣象分析。

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林得恩表示，目前西北太平洋熱帶擾動相當活躍，海面上同時有3個颱風活動。（擷自林老師氣象站臉書）

台大大氣科學博士林得恩表示，目前西北太平洋熱帶擾動相當活躍，海面上同時有「彩雲」、「諾洛」及「小熊」3個颱風活動；小熊過後，仍會有新的颱風生成，「秋颱影響時間可能又要延後了。」

林得恩今天（6日）在臉書粉專「林老師氣象站」發布貼文稱，根據中央氣象署今天凌晨2時最新氣象資料，目前西北太平洋海域共有彩雲、諾洛及小熊等3個颱風。

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林得恩表示，這3個颱風後續受到環境駛流場導引，移動方向都不是朝向台灣，因此對台灣天氣皆無影響。

林得恩指出，今年截至目前為止，西北太平洋及南海海域已經有28個颱風生成，以全年颱風生成總數來看，「並不算少」。

談及後續是否還會有颱風生成，林得恩表示，根據歐洲中期天氣預報中心（ECMWF）模式、美國國家環境預報中心（NCEP）全球預報系統（GFS）模式，以及美國AIGFS模式今天清晨最新模擬預測結果，小熊過後仍會有新的颱風生成。

林得恩指出，今年西北太平洋熱帶擾動相當活躍，因此「秋颱影響時間，可能又要延後了」。

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What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 小熊颱風過後仍會有新的颱風生成

    Likely · Within weeks

  • 秋颱影響時間可能延後

    Possible · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 新颱風生成的具體時間與路徑為何？
  • 秋颱延後將對台灣農業或能源產生什麼影響？

Related Topics

林得恩
Organizations國立臺灣大學中央氣象署歐洲中期天氣預報中心美國國家環境預報中心
Places西北太平洋台灣
Topics西北太平洋颱風彩雲諾洛小熊中央氣象署
This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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