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Back美通膨數據公布前觀望氣氛濃 新台幣31.5元附近震盪
美通膨數據公布前觀望氣氛濃 新台幣31.5元附近震盪
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自由时报16 minutes agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

美通膨數據公布前觀望氣氛濃 新台幣31.5元附近震盪

Quick Look

美國通膨數據公布前,市場觀望氣氛濃厚,台股早盤曾下跌逾300點,新台幣兌美元匯率在31.5元附近整理,中東戰火推升國際油價突破每桶100美元,避險資金部分轉向日圓,市場靜待美國PPI及CPI數據,日圓、人民幣、韓元均在高檔附近震盪,外資匯入動能放緩,新台幣短線可能續在31.5元整理等待市場訊息明朗。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

市場正靜待美國通膨數據公布,同時關注中東局勢對油價的影響,以及主要央行即將公布的政策動向。

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美通膨數據公布前觀望氣氛濃 新台幣31.5元附近震盪。(記者陳梅英攝)

〔記者陳梅英/台北報導〕美國通膨數據公布前,市場觀望氣氛轉濃,台股漲多拉回,早盤一度下跌逾300點,新台幣兌美元匯率在31.5元附近陷入整理,中午暫收31.525元,小貶2分,台北外匯經紀公司成交量9.77億美元。

中東戰火持續延燒,國際油價突破每桶100美元,不過避險資金部分轉向日圓,加上市場靜待今晚美國公布生產者物價指數(PPI)及週五公布的消費者物價指數(CPI),美元指數波動不大。

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日圓仍是亞幣市場焦點,但短線升幅已大,近兩日在153兑1美元附近、7個月高檔附近震盪。人民幣、韓元也分別在3年及2年高檔附近徘徊。

匯銀主管指出,台股攻高後進入整理,今日早盤回落逾300點,外資匯入動能放緩,新台幣短線可能續在31.5元整理等待市場訊息明朗。

新台幣今日以31.53元開出,上午盤最高升抵31.49元、最低觸及31.535元。

市場接下來聚焦本週美國通膨數據,觀察油價上漲是否進一步推升通膨壓力;同時下週「超級央行周」登場,聯準會、日本央行及台灣央行將陸續公布最新政策動向,美元、日圓及新台幣後續走勢也將受到牽動。

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What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 美國PPI及CPI數據公布後,新台幣匯率將根據通膨壓力方向在31.5元附近選擇方向

    Likely · Within days

  • 若美國通膨數據高於預期,新台幣可能進一步貶值;若低於預期,則可能反彈

    Possible · Within days

Open Questions

  • 美國PPI及CPI數據將如何影響聯準會利率決策?
  • 中東戰火是否會進一步升級,推升油價至更高水平?
  • 台灣央行在超級央行周將採取何種政策立場?

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