
AI-generated summary
The Nikkei Stock Average recovered to the 70,000 yen level for the first time in three months on the 6th, but then fell for five consecutive days, widening the decline to nearly 3,000 yen.
At the Tokyo stock market on the 15th, the Nikkei average stock price was at the 64,500 yen level, more than 3,100 yen lower than the previous day's closing price. This is the first time in about two weeks that the price has fallen below 65,000 yen during trading hours since September 29th. This continued the trend of declines in major stock indexes in the U.S. market the previous day.
In the United States, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September announced on the 14th increased by 3.7% compared to the same month last year, exceeding market expectations (3.6%), increasing expectations for an interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Expectations for an interest rate hike had receded as September's employment statistics were significantly lower than market expectations, but rose again in response to the CPI results. Raising interest rates tends to depress the economy and work against stock prices. Fears of prolonged inflation led to a sell-off centered on semiconductor stocks, and all major U.S. stock indexes fell.
At the Tokyo stock market on the 15th, the Nikkei average opened at 66,880 yen, 863 yen lower than the previous day's closing price. Since then, the decline has widened. A wide range of stocks, mainly those related to artificial intelligence (AI) and semiconductors, are being sold, including Advantest, SoftBank Group, and Tokyo Electron, which have a large impact on Nikkei 225 price movements.
On the 6th, the Nikkei average returned to the 70,000 yen level, a milestone for the first time in three months. However, by the 14th, the price had fallen for five consecutive days, and the decline during this period had widened to nearly 3,000 yen.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The Fed may raise additional interest rates
Possible · Within months
Nikkei Stock Average continues to move around 65,000 yen in the short term
Likely · Within weeks

The G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting was held in Bangkok, Thailand, and discussed the risks to the world economy of persistently high crude oil prices due to the prolonged situation in the Middle East, as well as responses to soaring long-term interest rates, mainly in Japan, the United States, and Europe. From Japan, Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama and Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda attended, expressing a shared recognition of the uncertain future.

According to the Beige Book released by the Federal Reserve, U.S. economic activity reported "slight to moderate growth." As the effects of high oil prices become more pervasive, and costs are rising and prices are being passed on to consumers, personal consumption is being driven primarily by high-income households, but low-income households are becoming more cautious about spending.

The Portuguese government announced on the 14th that it will sell up to 49.9% of the shares in state-run TAP Portugal to Germany's Lufthansa. The sale price is up to 1,201 million euros (approximately 212 billion yen). Lufthansa plans to acquire the remaining 50.1% by July 2028, and if this happens, TAP is expected to be fully privatized. The total sale price could reach up to 2.552 billion euros (approximately 450 billion yen).

The six major US financial companies have reported their financial results for the July-September period of 2026, and all five, except Bank of America, posted increased profits. While an increase in net interest income contributed, IPO and M&A activity slowed, creating a headwind for investment banking.

According to September trade statistics released by the China General Administration of Customs, exports increased by 36.3% year-on-year to $447.18 billion, a record high, and imports also increased by 31.0% to $313.65 billion, a record high. The trade surplus was $133.53 billion, exceeding $100 billion for the fifth consecutive month, with exports of high-tech products and AI-related equipment and parts increasing significantly. Increased imports due to high crude oil prices also had an impact.
SBI Securities announced on October 14th that a system failure had occurred in its FX stock certificate collateral service, and forced settlements were carried out from the 12th to early morning of the 13th on 779 accounts that were not originally subject to loss cuts. The cause was an operational error by the subcontractor, IIJ, and a system design that made it impossible to detect errors. SBI Securities explained that after confirming the user's intentions, the company will respond basically by returning the position to the state it would have been in if there had been no failure.