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Back台股一度大漲逾千點!外資匯出壓力未歇 新台幣翻貶再逼近33元
台股一度大漲逾千點!外資匯出壓力未歇 新台幣翻貶再逼近33元
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自由时报39 minutes agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

台股一度大漲逾千點!外資匯出壓力未歇 新台幣翻貶再逼近33元

Quick Look

台股早盤大漲逾千點,攻上4萬3135點;新台幣盤初曾升抵32.794元,隨外資匯出壓力延續,最低觸及32.964元,中午暫收32.951元,貶值6.9分,再度逼近33元關卡。市場聚焦美國10月CPI與聯準會理事華勒發言,若核心CPI高於預期,12月升息預期可能升溫,支撐美元。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

台股延續昨日反彈力道,今早一度大漲逾千點、攻上4萬3135點。新台幣兌美元匯率在美元走弱之際,盤初曾升值近1角,隨台股漲點收斂,外資前一日賣超台股逾900億元後的匯出需求延續至今早,新台幣由升轉貶,最低觸及32.964元,再度逼近33元關卡。中午暫收32.951元、貶值6.9分,台北外匯經紀公司成交量12.5億美元。

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台股延續昨日反彈力道,今早一度大漲逾千點、攻上4萬3135點,新台幣兌美元匯率也在美元走弱之際,盤初一度升值近1角。不過,隨台股漲點收斂,外資前一日賣超台股逾900億元後的匯出需求也延續至今早,新台幣由升轉貶,最低觸及32.964元,再度逼近33元關卡。中午暫收32.951元、貶值6.9分,台北外匯經紀公司成交量12.5億美元。

美國總統川普暫緩對伊朗動武,國際油價回落,美股反彈、美元走弱。儘管輝達董事會針對執行長黃仁勳是否遭外國情報行動鎖定展開獨立調查,使輝達股價下跌4.27%,但半導體類股普遍反彈,費城半導體指數更大漲近7%,台積電ADR上漲逾3%,帶動台股今早跳空開高。

新台幣今早以32.84元開出,盤初先是反應美元走弱、一度升抵32.794元,突破32.8元關卡,惟上午10點過後,美元買盤轉強,匯價迅速翻貶,上午高低震盪達1.7角。

市場接下來聚焦美國今晚公布的10月消費者物價指數(CPI),以及聯準會理事華勒對經濟與通膨的看法。油價若持續回落,有助於緩解後續能源通膨壓力,但若今晚公布的核心CPI高於預期,市場對聯準會12月升息的預期可能進一步升溫,支撐美元走勢。此外,影響新台幣走勢關鍵仍在外資,若外資匯出力道未見收斂,新台幣短線仍可能再度測試33元關卡。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 若美國10月核心CPI高於預期,聯準會12月升息預期將升溫,支撐美元走勢,新台幣可能面臨貶值壓力。

    Possible · Within days

  • 若外資匯出力道未見收斂,新台幣短線可能再度測試33元關卡。

    Likely · Within days

Open Questions

  • 外資匯出壓力何時會收斂?
  • 美國10月CPI公布後,聯準會12月升息預期將如何變化?
  • 新台幣是否會跌破33元關卡?

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