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BackChen Ying conducted her own poll, and her support was only 4.6% behind her opponent Wu Xiuhua.
Chen Ying conducted her own poll, and her support was only 4.6% behind her opponent Wu Xiuhua.
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自由时报16 minutes agoPolitics2 min readChinaView original

Chen Ying conducted her own poll, and her support was only 4.6% behind her opponent Wu Xiuhua.

Quick Look

  • DPP Taitung County Mayor candidate Chen Yingjing commissioned Dadi Polling Company to conduct a local poll from November 6 to 8.
  • The results showed that Chen Ying's support was only 4.6% behind her opponent Wu Xiuhua.
  • If voters who "will definitely vote" are taken into account, the gap narrowed to 2.6%, which is within the margin of error.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

This poll was commissioned by Dadi Polling Company from the campaign headquarters of DPP Taitung County Mayor candidate Chen Ying. The interview period was from November 6 to 8, 2026. There were 1,067 valid samples, and the sampling error was plus or minus 3% at the 95% confidence level. Compared with previous polls, the gap in support between Chen Ying and Wu Xiuhua continues to narrow.

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The campaign headquarters of DPP Taitung County Mayor candidate Chen Ying commissioned Dadi Polling Company to conduct a city poll from November 6 to 8. The poll report released today shows that Chen Ying's support is only 4.6% behind her opponent Wu Xiuhua. If voters who "will definitely vote" are considered, the support gap is only 2.6%, which is within the margin of error. Compared with previous polls, Chen Ying's support shows an upward trend, and the election situation is catching up. President Wu Xiuhua has not responded to this poll yet.

Chen Ying's headquarters stated that there were 1,067 valid samples in this poll, and the sampling error was plus or minus 3% at a 95% confidence level. The survey results show that in terms of voting intention, for the Taitung County Magistrate election on November 28, 64.0% of the people said they will definitely vote, 24.4% may vote, 4.3% may not vote, 4.3% will definitely not vote, 3.0% do not know, and 0.0% refuse to answer.

Regarding the support for Taitung County Magistrate candidate, 31.1% of the people supported Chen Ying, Wu Xiuhua 35.7%, Li Wuyingzhi 1.2%, Wang Zhiwei 0.9%, 28.4% could not choose any candidate, and 2.8% refused to answer.

Further examination of the people who "definitely will vote" shows that the proportion of people who support Wu Xiuhua is the highest at 39.9%, followed by Chen Ying at 37.3%. The gap between the two is only 2.6%, and the election situation is tug-of-war. Another 16.9% said they could not choose any candidate.

As for the popularity of the Taitung County Magistrate candidate, 19.1% of the people believe that Chen Ying is most likely to be elected, Wu Xiuhua 48.9%, Li Wuyingzhi 0.0%, Wang Zhiwei 0.1%, 31.7% cannot choose any candidate, and 0.2% refuse to answer.

Chen Ying's campaign headquarters stated that based on a local poll conducted by Convergence News Network from May 27 to 28, Chen Ying's support was 22.4% and Wu Xiuhua's support was 51.3%, with a gap of 28.9%. In the local polls commissioned by Chen Ying's campaign headquarters in late August and early October, the gaps were 10% and 9% respectively. When the survey methods are all local telephone interviews and the support inquiry method is the same, it can be found that the gap between Chen Ying and Wu Xiuhua continues to narrow, and the election situation is catching up like eating sugar cane. From the comparison of support and optimism, we can also find that the election situation is closer than people expected. In the countdown to the election, the campaign team will continue to work hard to win the recognition and support of Taitung County residents.

The execution unit of this poll is Dadi Public Opinion Research Co., Ltd., and the survey topic is: 2026 Taitung County Chief Public Opinion Survey. Access time: 2026/11/6∼2026/11/8. There are 1,067 valid samples, and the sampling error is plus or minus 3.00% at the 95% confidence level. Interviews with people registered in Taitung County and over 20 years old. The survey method uses local telephone interviews, and local telephone numbers are drawn according to the proportion of the administrative district parent population. The weighting method is based on the latest population data from the Ministry of Interior, using multiple iterative weightings for gender, age, education level and administrative region.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • The vote gap between Chen Ying and Wu Xiuhua in the Taitung County Magistrate election on November 28 will remain within the margin of error, and the election will continue to see a tug of war.

    Possible · Within days

Open Questions

  • Wu Xiuhua’s campaign headquarters’ specific response to this poll
  • The campaign strategies and subsequent performance of the two candidates Li Wu Yingzhi and Wang Zhiwei
  • Final voting results on November 28th polling day

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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