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Back新代:記憶體供應無虞 毛利率目標維持43%至47%
新代:記憶體供應無虞 毛利率目標維持43%至47%
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自由时报26 minutes agoBusiness3 min readChinaView translation

新代:記憶體供應無虞 毛利率目標維持43%至47%

控制器大廠新代舉行法說會,強調透過三大策略確保記憶體供應,並看好馬來西亞新廠帶動明年產能提升。

Quick Look

控制器大廠新代(7750)於法說會表示,透過三大策略確保記憶體備貨至明年底無虞。公司預期明年第二季後,隨馬來西亞新廠啟用,產能稼動率將顯著提升,並看好印度及東協市場成長潛力,毛利率目標維持在43%至47%區間。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

新代為控制器大廠,近期積極擴建蘇州二廠及馬來西亞新廠以提升產能。

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控制器大廠新代(7750)今(13)日下午舉行法說會,關鍵原物料記憶體價格今年瘋漲,但新代透過三支箭取得關鍵料源,相關記憶體存貨保守看到明年年中都沒問題,新代相關訂單需求成長維持強勁,即使目前無調價計畫,但產品組合優化之下,毛利率可望維持在公司目標43%至47%區間,隨馬來西亞新廠啟用,明年第二季後稼動率將大增。

新代財務長林東旭指出,今年新代第二季營收82億元,第三季78億元,以往第三季是相對淡季,但今年第三季幾乎與第二季持平,他認為,明年季節性變化將會是微乎其微。目前海外市場佔營收比重沒有很大,但是每年成長35%,近期在印度市場很大突破,而馬來西亞新廠預計明年第一季完工,提供印度、東協國家市場需求,除了台灣跟蘇州以外,新代建立第三個供應鏈基地,且馬來西亞運到印度還有關稅優勢。

林東旭提到,中國蘇州二廠、馬來西亞新廠與印度新辦公室陸續完成,其中,蘇州二廠是一廠的兩倍產能,控制器在明年第一季後產能將是2.5倍,明年第2季後稼動率將有很大提升。目前相關訂單依舊非常強勁,但林東旭強調,市場還是要看供貨狀況,新代到明年中、明年下半年出貨都不會延遲,這是競爭優勢。他提到,今年記憶體漲十倍,但新代的毛利率維持,代表產品優化與降本控制良好。

新代總監黃芳芷也提到,去年中國市佔率約23%,銷售15萬套控制器,今年賣22萬套,換算市佔率至少25%以上,希望明年可以看到3字頭;她也透露今年機械手臂2026年可望銷售2500支,較去年1000多支翻倍,目標是2027年持續翻倍增長。

新代對毛利率控制在45%正負兩個百分點,也就是控制在43到47%,是新代認為穩健的區間。今年第一季高達48%,隨後第二、第三季落在44到45%,近期記憶體價格趨緩,加上產品組合優化,新代看毛利率可穩健維持在目標區間。

新代也透露,在記憶體漲價潮之下,仍有充足備貨,主要有三大策略,包括調現貨,可支應到明年中,與原廠有簽訂長約,此外也跟中國記憶體廠商採購等,最關鍵的記憶體料源到明年底無虞。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 馬來西亞新廠將於明年第一季完工

    Very likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • 未來記憶體價格波動對毛利率的長期影響程度為何?

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