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Back黃金最大敵人來了!金價連跌兩日
黃金最大敵人來了!金價連跌兩日
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自由时报20 minutes agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

黃金最大敵人來了!金價連跌兩日

現貨黃金下跌1.1%,報每盎司3986.79美元,市場押注聯準會12月升息50個基點的機率升至12.9%

Quick Look

美國10月消費者物價指數高於預期,聯準會官員發表鷹派談話,推升美元並提高下個月大幅升息可能性,導致現貨黃金週三下跌1.1%至每盎司3986.79美元,延續前一交易日跌勢。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

美國10月消費者物價較前月上漲0.4%,高於市場預期的0.3%。聯準會理事華勒曾表示,若10月核心通膨率達到0.3%,將考慮在12月會議上升息50個基點。

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黃金價格週三(11日)下跌。(彭博)

〔財經頻道/綜合報導〕黃金價格週三(11日)下跌,背後原因是美國通膨數據高於預期,加上聯準會(Fed)官員發表鷹派談話,推升美元,也提高下個月大幅升息的可能性,使金價延續前一交易日的跌勢。

現貨黃金下跌1.1%,報每盎司3986.79美元,儘管盤中稍早一度回升至每盎司4066.77美元,仍延續前一交易日的跌勢。

美國12月交割的黃金期貨則下跌0.7%,收在每盎司4000.50美元。

StoneX資深市場策略師哈伯科恩(Bob Haberkorn)表示:「消費者物價指數(CPI)公布結果略高於預期,市場解讀認為,這代表聯準會在12月會議上有必要採取更高的利率。」

美國數據顯示,10月消費者物價較前月上漲0.4%,高於市場預期,金價週二(10日)因此下跌約3%。路透社調查的經濟學家原本預測,10月消費者物價將上漲0.3%。在數據公布前,聯準會理事華勒(Christopher Waller)表示,如果10月核心通膨率達到0.3%,他將考慮在12月會議上升息50個基點(2碼)。

儘管市場原本預期聯準會12月升息25個基點的機率為87%,但在CPI數據公布前,市場對升息50個基點的押注原本為零,數據公布後則升至12.9%,也推動美元指數升至2025年4月以來最高水準。

美元走強會使黃金對海外買家而言更加昂貴;另一方面,黃金本身不會產生利息收益,在高利率環境下,吸引力也會隨之降低。

現貨鈀金上漲1.8%,報每盎司1043美元,此前盤中觸及10月22日以來最高水準。

現貨白銀上漲0.7%,報每盎司51.88美元。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 聯準會可能在12月會議上升息50個基點

    Possible · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 聯準會12月會議最終是否會升息50個基點
  • 黃金價格短期是否會繼續下跌

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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