
沈伯洋參選台北市長後調整競選形象,將論述重心從國安與兩岸議題轉向市政治理及基層選戰,並以「洋流」作為號召。BBC中文網分析指出,此舉使原本勝算不高的他逐漸成為選戰焦點,與現任市長蔣萬安的支持度差距縮小至1.2個百分點。
AI-generated summary
沈伯洋原以黑熊學院創辦人及強硬對中立場知名,參選台北市長後調整競選策略,轉焦市政與基層,以「洋流」為號召,試圖擴大吸引中間選民。
沈伯洋參選後調整競選形象,將論述重心從國安與兩岸議題轉向市政治理及基層選戰,並以「洋流」作為競選號召。《BBC》中文網分析指出,這項轉變讓原本被認為勝算不高的沈伯洋逐漸成為台北市長選戰焦點。(資料照)
台灣11月28日舉行地方選舉,台北市長選戰受到關注。英國廣播公司(BBC)中文網6日刊登專題分析指出,民進黨參選人沈伯洋宣布參選後調整競選形象,從原本聚焦國安與兩岸議題,轉向市政治理及基層選戰,並以「洋流」作為競選號召。
《BBC》指出,尋求連任的國民黨籍市長蔣萬安享有現任優勢,也是外界關注的2028年總統大選潛在人選。相較之下,沈伯洋原先被認為勝算不高,但參選後的形象調整及競選操作,讓台北選戰受到更多關注。
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《BBC》分析,沈伯洋過去以「黑熊學院」、全民防衛及對中強硬立場建立鮮明形象,但也因此被部分選民視為政治立場鮮明。參選台北市長後,他剪去原本具有辨識度的蓬鬆髮型,競選主視覺改用橘色,並將論述重心由國防、兩岸議題轉向市政治理與社會議題,同時增加基層活動。
這項轉變也包括「洋流」競選概念。《BBC》認為,沈伯洋陣營藉此尋求接觸中間選民。10月4日沈伯洋競選總部成立大會,前總統蔡英文與總統賴清德也到場站台。
選情差距縮小 蔣萬安開始正面迎戰
《BBC》引述信民協會9月民調指出,蔣萬安支持度41.7%、沈伯洋40.5%,雙方差距縮小至1.2個百分點;5月TVBS民調則顯示,蔣萬安支持度58%、沈伯洋30%。兩份民調反映不同時間點的調查結果,不能直接等同最終選舉結果。
《BBC》指出,沈伯洋陣營以「洋流」推動選戰後,過去較採低調策略的蔣萬安團隊也開始加強選戰攻防。蔣萬安主打大巨蛋啟用、捷運開發及爭取輝達(Nvidia)台灣總部落腳等市政成果,但食安、幼兒虐童及同志酒吧遭警方搜索等事件,也成為批評者檢視市政治理的議題。
兩人的兩岸路線同樣不同。《BBC》提到,蔣萬安任內推動台北上海雙城論壇,主張兩岸越緊張越需要溝通;沈伯洋則表示,若當選將重新評估雙城論壇效益,主張台北增加與其他國際城市交流,但只要沒有政治前提,也不排斥赴中國交流。
《BBC》最後引述中央研究院政治學研究所研究員鮑彤(Nathan F. Batto)分析,沈伯洋沒有按照原先被認為「毫無勝算、注定落敗」的劇本發展,反而逐漸掌握選戰節奏,使台北市長選戰比原先預期更加受到關注。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
台北市長選舉將在11月28日舉行,沈伯洋與蔣萬安的支持度差距將繼續縮小或擴大,視後續選戰發展而定。
Likely · Within days

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