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Back每推進一公里死6人!駭客奪俄機密:俄軍民死亡逾45萬 躍升第四大死因 邊陲少數民族淪砲灰
每推進一公里死6人!駭客奪俄機密:俄軍民死亡逾45萬 躍升第四大死因 邊陲少數民族淪砲灰
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自由时报21 minutes agoDefense3 min readChinaView translation

每推進一公里死6人!駭客奪俄機密:俄軍民死亡逾45萬 躍升第四大死因 邊陲少數民族淪砲灰

駭客組織取得俄羅斯聯邦統計局機密數據,顯示俄國軍民傷亡數字遠超官方預期,且兵源結構出現高齡化與邊陲少數民族犧牲比例過高的現象。

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駭客組織竊取俄羅斯聯邦統計局數據,顯示自2022年開戰至2026年8月,俄國軍民死亡人數逾45萬。數據揭露俄軍兵源高齡化,且邊陲少數民族承受不成比例的傷亡,凸顯戰爭對俄國社會的深遠影響。

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Why It Matters

俄羅斯於2022年全面入侵烏克蘭,戰事持續至今,造成雙方巨大的人員傷亡與社會影響。

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隨著俄羅斯全面入侵烏克蘭將屆5年,真實的血腥代價與前線亂象逐漸浮上檯面。白俄羅斯與烏克蘭駭客組織近期取得的俄羅斯聯邦統計局(Rosstat)機密資料顯示,俄國軍民因戰火死亡的人數超過45萬人,這場戰役不僅成為俄羅斯自二次世界大戰以來最致命的武裝衝突,更躍升為官方統計的第4大死因。

白俄「網路游擊隊」(Cyber Partisans)與烏克蘭「沉默烏鴉」(Silent Crow)等駭客組織駭入俄國聯邦統計局,竊取高達23 TB的內部人口數據。外洩的1100萬份死亡證明顯示,自2022年開戰至2026年8月,已有超過45萬名俄國軍人與平民死於戰火,包括死於烏軍2024年「庫斯克行動」的平民。

德國國際與安全事務研究所(SWP)專家克魯格(Janis Kluge)指出,數據顯示俄軍每推進1公里,平均得犧牲6.2條人命,其中高達72%的死亡案件集中在自稱的頓內茨克人民共和國,凸顯當地如巴赫姆特(Bakhmut)攻防戰的慘烈程度。

除了駭客外洩的陣亡數據,烏克蘭武裝部隊參謀總部11月9日的最新戰報指出,俄軍累計傷亡總數已突破160萬人大關,達160萬9380人。烏軍證實,2026年10月是俄軍開戰以來死傷最慘重的一個月;光是過去24小時內,俄軍便激增近3000人傷亡,並損失逾1.2萬輛戰車與5.2萬門火砲。

美國智庫「戰略暨國際研究中心」(CSIS)推估,俄烏雙方的傷亡比例約為2.5比1或2比1,烏軍截至2025年底的總傷亡約在50萬至60萬之間,陣亡約10萬至14萬人。然而,因俄軍無人機密集轟炸,烏克蘭在尋獲並運回陣亡將士遺體以進行DNA查證的工作上,正面臨極大阻礙。

駭客取得的數據深刻反映出俄國兵源枯竭的困境。入侵初期的年輕軍隊,如今被迫由高齡階層填補。2022年上半年,50至59歲男性的戰爭死亡僅146人,但到了2025年上半年,該年齡層陣亡人數暴增至1.2萬人以上。

此外,這場嚴酷的消耗戰也暴露出俄國社會的不公。莫斯科當局透過高薪誘使貧困地區民眾參軍,導致俄國邊陲的少數民族,如緊鄰蒙古的布里亞特與圖瓦共和國,承受不成比例的慘重犧牲,部分小型原住民族甚至面臨形同「種族滅絕」的打擊,莫斯科等大城市則受到一定程度的保護。

Open Questions

  • 外洩數據的完整真實性核實
  • 俄國政府對數據外洩的後續反應

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