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Back華爾街大崩潰!黃仁勳走人代價慘 輝達目標價遭砍近6成
華爾街大崩潰!黃仁勳走人代價慘  輝達目標價遭砍近6成
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自由时报22 minutes agoBusiness3 min readChinaView translation

華爾街大崩潰!黃仁勳走人代價慘 輝達目標價遭砍近6成

財務長柯蕾絲暫代執行長,華爾街多家分析師調降股票評級

Quick Look

輝達創辦人黃仁勳因婚外情及國安疑雲請辭執行長,由財務長柯蕾絲暫代。輝達股價過去一個月累計跌幅逼近25%,Melius、Evercore、Bernstein等多家華爾街分析師調降評級與目標價,市場擔憂接班不確定性與領導風險。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

輝達是AI晶片巨擘,黃仁勳掌舵超過30年,長期主導公司技術策略、產品方向及客戶關係。黃仁勳捲入婚外情及國安疑雲後請辭,財務長柯蕾絲暫代執行長,直到正式接班人選出爐。

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首次上稿 11-12 23:37

更新時間 11-13 05:50

黃仁勳請辭輝達執行長。(美聯社)

〔財經頻道/綜合報導〕AI晶片巨擘輝達創辦人黃仁勳捲入婚外情及國安疑雲後,12日辭去執行長職務,震撼全球金融市場。輝達股價週四開盤後大暴跌,過去一個月累計跌幅逼近25%,至少6名華爾街分析師迅速調降股票評級,更有分析師形容,這是「輝達黑暗的一天」。

CNBC報導,輝達12日宣布黃仁勳卸下執行長職務,由財務長柯蕾絲(Colette Kress)暫代執行長,直到正式接班人選出爐。然而,黃仁勳掌舵輝達超過30年,長期主導公司技術策略、產品方向及客戶關係,突然離開讓市場憂心,輝達能否維持原有競爭優勢。

華爾街分析師迅速調整投資評價。長期看好輝達的Melius Research分析師Ben Reitzes,將評級從「買進」降至「持有」,目標價由315美元大砍至185美元。他坦言,過去幾週的發展令人措手不及,尤其近期接連爆出的爭議,已讓投資風險大幅升高,因此決定暫時退出觀望。

Evercore分析師Mark Lipacis也將評級由「優於大盤」降至「與大盤一致」,目標價更從465美元驟降至186美元,降幅達60%。他指出,相關調查可能耗費相當長的時間,加上輝達缺乏明確接班計畫,市場可能持續下修公司本益比。

Bernstein分析師Stacy Rasgon則將目標價由400美元砍至200美元。他認為,輝達核心業務基本面仍然穩健,龐大的AI需求沒有立即消失,但未來是否還會出現更多指控,以及正式接班人選的不確定性,都可能壓抑投資人信心。

知名科技分析師Dan Ives更直言,這是「輝達黑暗的一天」。他估算,黃仁勳繼續擔任執行長時,輝達每股價值約300美元;若失去黃仁勳,估值則降至225美元,兩者相差75美元。不過,他仍相信輝達能度過動盪,持續扮演AI革命的重要角色。

KeyBanc分析師John Vinh指出,黃仁勳離開將大幅增加輝達的策略、組織及執行風險,即使核心業務短期仍強勁,要找到具備同等領導能力與策略眼光的接班人並不容易。

前那斯達克董事長暨執行長Robert Greifeld則批評,輝達董事會在接班規劃方面表現不佳。不過,他也認為,晶片研發及客戶合約具有長期性,新任執行長仍有時間熟悉業務,不至於立即打亂既有產品發展計畫。

Wind Shift Capital創辦人Bill Blain更直言:「黃仁勳已經出局了!」他在晨間投資報告中指出,輝達過度依賴黃仁勳,如今已成為重大市場風險。這家稱霸AI產業的企業缺乏明確接班規劃,而黃仁勳長期被外界視為AI產業最具代表性、也最能獲得大眾認同的人物。他警告,過去幾個月市場對AI產業的信心已持續動搖,黃仁勳離開恐進一步引發市場不穩,甚至觸發另一波崩跌。

瑞銀(UBS)全球財富管理投資長Mark Haefele及其團隊週四表示,輝達的人事動盪凸顯科技股投資過度集中的風險。他指出,不針對個別公司發表看法,但隨著AI投資熱潮逐漸成熟,這起事件再次突顯分散投資及審慎選股的重要性。瑞銀仍看好AI產業的長期發展潛力,認為運算需求依然強勁,企業獲利也具備韌性。不過,在市場期待居高不下、各家公司未來表現可能出現明顯差異的情況下,持股過度集中的投資組合,恐因個別企業遭遇挫折而承受更大衝擊。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 輝達股價在短期內將繼續承受下行壓力,直至新任執行長正式上任並恢復市場信心。

    Likely · Within weeks

  • 輝達董事會將在數週內公布正式接班人選。

    Possible · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 正式接班人選是誰,何時出爐?
  • 婚外情及國安疑雲的具體內容與調查進度如何?
  • 黃仁勳離開後,輝達的技術策略與產品方向會否發生變化?

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