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Back嘆黃仁勳巨變早有徵兆 謝金河:對供應鏈衝擊須再評估
嘆黃仁勳巨變早有徵兆 謝金河:對供應鏈衝擊須再評估
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自由时报21 minutes agoBusiness3 min readChinaView translation

嘆黃仁勳巨變早有徵兆 謝金河:對供應鏈衝擊須再評估

謝金河:黃仁勳辭去輝達總裁、執行長及董事會成員職務,後續恐面臨美國國會調查,台灣供應鏈衝擊需評估

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輝達執行長黃仁勳傳出與新加坡資料中心公司前高層及輝達醫療保健業務副總裁發生婚外情,並因此辭去總裁、執行長及董事會成員職務。輝達股價盤中跌至148.8美元,市值剩3.586兆美元,較9月6日最高價243.37美元、市值5.865兆美元蒸發2.279兆美元。財信傳媒董事長謝金河認為,後續恐面臨美國國會調查,台灣供應鏈影響需評估。

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Why It Matters

文章引述財信傳媒董事長謝金河的觀點,指出黃仁勳過度執著中國市場,涉及間諜疑慮與美中AI競爭,事件發生在11月3日美國期中選舉後,被視為美國建制派清君側。

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輝達(NVIDIA)執行長黃仁勳婚外情連環爆,引發外界高度關注。(彭博)

〔即時新聞/綜合報導〕輝達(NVIDIA)執行長黃仁勳婚外情連環爆,先是爆出外遇疑似中國間諜的新加坡資料中心公司Megaspeed前高層黃樂,之後又被踢爆與輝達醫療保健業務副總裁Kimberly Powell發生戀情,黃仁勳為此辭去公司總裁、執行長及董事會成員職務。財信傳媒董事長謝金河直言,過去他就曾擔心黃仁勳過度執著中國市場,他認為黃仁勳辭職下台,後面恐怕還會面臨美國國會調查,台灣的影響恐怕會餘波盪漾,對供應鏈的衝擊還得慢慢評估。

謝金河在臉書以「亢龍有悔!前塵往事如雲煙」為題發文指出,睡到四點半,起床看輝達的股價,盤中最低跌到148.8美元,市值剩下3.586兆美元,對比9月6日的最高價243.37美元,市值5.865兆美元,這場黃仁勳的緋聞風暴,讓輝達市值蒸發2.279兆美元,約新台幣74.75兆美元。

謝金河表示,這場風暴來得又急又猛,很多人更關切沒有黃仁勳,AI的未來會怎樣?對台灣的撞擊會會有多大?畢竟台灣這3年的榮景,有相當的成分是黃仁勳搭建起來的,黃仁勳走下聖殿,今後恐怕看不到他親民逛夜市,豪氣兆元宴的景象。

謝金河提到,早上起來在網路上看到有人繪製一張圖卡,整理這一年多以來他對輝達的憂慮,其中之一是黃仁勳過度執著中國市場,恐讓輝達陷入重大風險!現在的破口正是黃樂。除了她和黃仁勳個人關係,情報也顯示她是中國佈建的間諜。

謝金河透露,他對黃仁勳的問號從黃穿唐裝開始,本來入境隨俗也無可厚非,但仔細看黃對兩岸的態度,微妙處就可以看出一些端倪。黃仁勳建構的AI供應鏈集中在台灣,而台灣也因AI而偉大,但大家都沒有看過他和小英總統、賴總統的合影照片,顯然他遵守北京的禁忌,可以看出他的政治敏感。

謝金河指出,其次是在美中以AI為國力競技的新時代,他和馬斯克是川普唯二的紅頂商人,這個時候,中國用美人計突圍,用黃仁勳影響川普,也利用黃仁勳突破高階晶片封鎖戰略。黃仁勳不斷強調,若封殺中國晶片會讓中國自製突圍,甚至他說出中國AI可能勝過美國,這個話他後來改口。

謝金河表示,這次的緋聞事件發生在11月3日美國期中選舉後,看起來是美國建制派準備清君側,從紐約時報放消息,到黃仁勳坦承緋聞,接著辭職下台,後面恐怕還有國會調查,台灣的影響恐怕會餘波盪漾,而這個輻射威力強大,過去東南亞的晶片地下轉運站可能被封死。

謝金河分析,新加坡的角色有變化,安華的馬來西亞會受到很大影響,今年他到檳城、柔佛,馬來西亞儼然是AI新基地,中國的資料中心都建置在柔佛,這幾天阿里巴巴股價重挫,可能是在反應這個利空。台積電ADR仍然站在400美元以上,比預期強勁,台灣的供應鏈的衝擊還得慢慢評估。

謝金河直言,美國的AI管制一定會更嚴格,台灣很多腳踩兩條船的企業,接下來也會陸續浮現。這些年,很多企業界人士都說,政治歸政治,經濟歸經濟,但最後都是政治決定經濟。兩岸如果一直敵對狀態,生意的基礎可能是浮沙!

謝金河也感嘆,這兩個月輝達、黃仁勳的巨變,這是今年最具震撼的一堂課,也讓他想起張學友「吻別」的一句詞:前麈往事如雲煙!不知何時能再見黃仁勳的身影?

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 美國國會將對黃仁勳與輝達展開調查

    Likely · Within weeks

  • 台灣供應鏈衝擊將逐步顯現

    Possible · Within months

  • 美國AI管制將更嚴格

    Likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • 黃仁勳辭職後輝達誰將接任?
  • 美國國會調查的具體進度與結果如何?
  • 台灣供應鏈的實際衝擊程度為何?
  • 黃樂是否確實為中國間諜?

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