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Back黃金價格維持平穩,美元升息預期降溫但金價仍面臨賣壓
黃金價格維持平穩,美元升息預期降溫但金價仍面臨賣壓
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自由时报2 hours agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

黃金價格維持平穩,美元升息預期降溫但金價仍面臨賣壓

Quick Look

週二黃金價格微幅上漲0.1%至每盎司4139.89美元,儘管聯準會升息機率下降,但美元升值和美債殖利率居高不下導致金價承壓。分析師預測黃金可能在2027年創歷史新高,明年平均價格達5330美元/盎司。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

聯準會近期升息預期因美國就業數據不及預期而降溫,但美元指數及美債殖利率仍處於高位,貴金屬市場受多種因素拉扯。

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週二(5日)黃金價格維持平穩。(彭博資料照)

〔財經頻道/綜合報導〕週二(5日)黃金價格維持平穩,聯準會(Fed)本月升息機率雖然下降,但美元升值和美債殖利率居高不下,黃金依然賣壓沉重,貴金屬顧問公司預測,黃金在2027年有機會創下歷史新高,明年金價平均每盎司5330美元。

黃金現貨上漲0.1%,報每盎司4139.89美元。

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美國黃金期貨下跌0.1%,報每盎司4156.80美元。

FOREX.com市場分析師拉扎克扎達(Fawad Razaqzada)說:「我們可能會看到(黃金價格)短期下跌,之後買盤才會大舉進場,這一切都與美元持續走強以及殖利率居高不下有關。」

拉扎克扎達說,「近幾天公布的美國經濟數據大多不如預期,這導致市場對升息的押注降溫。」

數據顯示,美國9月就業成長放緩幅度超出預期,且前兩個月的非農就業人口數據遭下修,市場對Fed本月升息的預期因而降溫。

交易員目前認為Fed 10月升息的機率為22%,低於上周約70%。不過根據芝商所FedWatch工具,市場仍認為Fed 12月升息的機率高達84%。

投資人正等待本週稍晚公布的9月聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)會議紀錄,這可能有助於判斷Fed未來的貨幣政策走向。Fed上月才啟動三年來首度升息。

貴金屬顧問公司Metals Focus預期,投資人尋求傳統美元計價資產以外的替代品,將推動黃金在2027年創下歷史新高,並預測明年金價平均每盎司5330美元。

其他貴金屬交易

現貨白銀上漲1.2%,報每盎司61.09美元。

現貨鉑金上漲1.4%,報每盎司1722.15美元。

現貨鈀金上漲0.7%,報每盎司1176.33美元。

一手掌握經濟脈動 點我訂閱自由財經Youtube頻道

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 黃金將在2027年創下歷史新高

    Possible · Within years

  • 明年金價平均每盎司將達5330美元

    Possible · Within years

Open Questions

  • Fed在12月是否真的會如市場預期般升息?
  • 若美元持續走強,黃金能否在2027年真的創歷史新高?

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