
AI-generated summary
The United States currently maintains the base interest rate at an annual level of 3.75-4.00%, and the inflation rate is progressing toward achieving the 2% target. The Cleveland Fed is one of the Federal Reserve banks that analyzes regional economic trends.
(New York = Yonhap News) Correspondent Lim Soo-jeong = Beth Hammack, president of the Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank, expressed the opinion on the 12th (local time) that "small frequent adjustments" to interest rates rather than large adjustments all at once would help prevent inflationary sentiment from becoming entrenched.
President Hammack said this in a speech at the National Association for the Real Economy (NABE) annual meeting held in Cleveland, Ohio on this day, diagnosing that “inflationary pressures are appearing relatively broadly rather than being concentrated in specific sectors.”
He said, “If possible, I think it is more desirable to make small adjustments relatively quickly rather than delaying policy adjustments and running the risk of needing larger trajectory corrections.”
Governor Hammack expressed concern that inflationary pressures are appearing in areas other than energy prices.
He said, “The rise in oil prices, gasoline, and diesel prices has attracted attention this year, but this is not everything,” and said that companies in the jurisdiction plan to increase sales prices by a larger amount than the cost increase rate.
In particular, it was pointed out that the increase in demand due to the expansion of artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure is driving up the prices of computer, electronic, and high-tech components, increasing the cost burden not only in data centers but also in the aviation, power generation, and construction fields.
President Hammack explained that the basic inflation rate in the United States, estimated by Cleveland Fed researchers, is currently in the mid to high 2% range.
Governor Hammack emphasized, “Even if an appropriate monetary policy is implemented, it will take time for the inflation rate to return to 2%,” adding, “A restrictive monetary policy stance is appropriate to return the inflation rate to 2% in a timely manner.”
However, it was not clearly stated whether it would support further interest rate increases at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the U.S. Federal Reserve, which will be held on the 27th and 28th.
The market expects the Federal Reserve to freeze the base interest rate at the current 3.75-4.00% per annum.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The U.S. Federal Reserve will freeze the benchmark interest rate at the FOMC meeting on the 27th and 28th.
Likely · Within days
It will take several months or more for the inflation rate to return to 2%.
Likely · Within months

While foreign investors have accumulated a net selling of nearly 199 trillion won in the stock market since the beginning of the year, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have shown a contrasting movement by net buying 9.6595 trillion won since the beginning of the year. In particular, it was analyzed that the inflow of funds through ETFs centered on underperforming themes such as semiconductors, finance, and nuclear energy.

The '2026 Future Economy Forum' hosted by Yonhap News will be held in Seoul on November 3, and applications for participation from the general public will be held from the 13th to the 28th. We discuss ways to cooperate between Korea and Japan amid the U.S.-China hegemony competition and fragmentation of the global economy, and explore the concept of a Korea-Japan economic community and the possibility of a transnational single market. SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-won will deliver a congratulatory speech, and Waseda University professors and Japanese experts will make presentations in each session.

On the 12th (local time) in the New York stock market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.38%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index showed mixed results, falling 0.06% and 0.44%, respectively. Rising international oil prices and weakness in memory semiconductor stocks affected the index.

Through its mid- to long-term financial management plan for 2026 to 2030, the National Health Insurance Corporation predicted that an operating deficit of trillions of won would occur every year and that the debt ratio of the health insurance business in 2030 would be 107.4%, exceeding the management standard of 100%. This year's deficit is expected to reach 2.8374 trillion won, and financial imbalance is deepening due to a freeze in insurance premium rates and a 1.65% increase in medical fees next year. Concerns about sustainability are growing as government treasury support falls short of the legal standard of 20%.

In the first half of this year, the stock trading volume of employees of the Bank of Korea's Financial Stability Department was calculated to be 274.2 million won, a 53-fold increase compared to the same period last year, and the number of employees of the Financial Markets Department was also revealed to have increased 24-fold. This, combined with the controversy over the lack of warning regarding single-stock leveraged ETFs, is expected to raise controversy over moral hazard regarding employees' investment behavior.

The Financial Supervisory Service announced on the 13th that it would conduct an on-site inspection of Yegaram Savings Bank, where about 50,000 pieces of customer information were leaked through hacking. Sensitive personal information, including name, date of birth, contact information, account number, and resident registration number, is believed to have been leaked through hacking, and the bank said it has completed emergency measures and strengthened security monitoring.