
美國期中選舉於當地時間11月3日舉行,統計1998年至2022年近7次美國期中選舉後,美股與台股加權指數7次全漲,台股漲幅更勝美股。
美期中選舉後股市連7紅,歷史數據顯示台股平均漲幅更勝美股。投信法人分析,市場焦點將回歸企業基本面,看好AI供應鏈及具技術優勢的產業龍頭。
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統計1998年至2022年近7次美國期中選舉後,美股與台股加權指數7次全漲。
美期中選舉後股市連7紅,台股漲幅更勝美股。(資料來源:Bloomberg)
美國期中選舉於當地時間11月3日舉行,選舉不確定性籠罩,台股今日盤中一度大跌近1400點,不過,統計1998年至2022年近7次美國期中選舉後,美股與台股加權指數7次全漲,平均報酬分別為9.22%及9.61%,台股漲幅更勝美股。
野村美國創新研發龍頭ETF(00971)經理人林怡君表示,預期期中選舉後市場焦點逐步回歸企業基本面。近期科技股受AI投資成本及回收速度疑慮影響而震盪,但長期創新趨勢未變,隨AI應用加速擴展,研發實力與技術競爭優勢將成為企業獲利成長的關鍵,除AI晶片、雲端運算外,醫療保健、自動化及創新應用亦具發展潛力,建議投資策略宜聚焦研發投入持續成長、具技術優勢與獲利成長動能的產業龍頭。
主動野村臺灣優選ETF(00980A)經理人游景德也說,台灣在全球AI供應鏈具關鍵地位,隨雲端服務業者擴大資本支出,持續看好AI伺服器、先進製程、先進封裝、高速傳輸及散熱等產業,不過,科技股評價處於相對高檔,市場將更重視訂單能見度、企業獲利及評價合理性,操作上將聚焦具技術門檻、競爭優勢及獲利成長潛力的企業,並依產業趨勢與基本面變化彈性調整持股,掌握市場波動帶來的投資機會。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
期中選舉後市場焦點逐步回歸企業基本面
Likely · Within weeks

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