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Back|房貸最高放寬至7成!你真的貸得到?數據曝光:銀行資金早就「轉移陣地」
房貸最高放寬至7成!你真的貸得到?數據曝光:銀行資金早就「轉移陣地」
Developing
自由时报·1 hour ago·Real_estate·2 min read·🇨🇳China·

房貸最高放寬至7成!你真的貸得到?數據曝光:銀行資金早就「轉移陣地」

Quick Look

央行9月17日宣布自9月18日起將自然人第二戶購屋貸款最高成數由6成提高至7成,但五大銀行最新授信數據顯示,房貸在放款中的占比持續下降,資本支出貸款反而超越房貸,顯示銀行資金需求已轉向企業投資與週轉等多元領域,房貸鬆綁並未帶來資金回流房市。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

央行於9月17日宣布自9月18日起將自然人第二戶購屋貸款最高成數由6成提高至7成,但不得有寬限期,此為房貸政策再度鬆綁的舉措。

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從五大銀行新承作放款來看,房貸退燒的情況相當明顯。(圖/資料照)

央行9月17日宣布,自9月18日起自然人第2戶購屋貸款最高成數由6成提高至7成,但仍不得有寬限期。房貸政策再度鬆綁,市場關注資金是否重新回流房市。不過,從五大銀行最新授信數據來看,房貸在銀行放款中的占比仍低於企業資金需求,資金結構並未全面轉向房市。

正心不動產估價師聯合事務所市場研究室協理陳孟筠表示,這次房貸鬆綁應與利率政策分開看,央行維持政策利率不變,代表整體借貸成本政策仍未轉向;第2戶房貸成數提高,則是考量房市降溫及銀行不動產授信集中情形改善後,針對特定房貸限制進行調整。

請繼續往下閱讀...

從五大銀行新承作放款來看,房貸退燒的情況相當明顯。113年五大銀行新承作購屋貸款約1兆1,632億元,高於資本支出貸款約9,735億元;但114年購屋貸款降至約7,693億元,年減33.9%,資本支出貸款則為8,304億元,年減14.7%,反而超越房貸。

今年前7月,兩者差距進一步拉大,五大銀行新承作購屋貸款約3,799億元,資本支出貸款約5,312億元,後者高出約39.8%。顯示銀行資金需求已不再高度集中於住宅市場,企業投資、建廠擴產及週轉等需求增加,也分散了銀行授信配置。

陳孟筠指出,這不能直接解讀成企業「搶走房貸資金」,但可以看出銀行面對的融資需求已更加多元。央行也指出,今年AI相關產業投資、企業週轉金及個人理財週轉金需求增加,1至7月全體銀行放款與投資平均年增率達8.23%。

值得注意的是,第2戶房貸從5成、6成一路放寬至7成,並不代表購屋族都能直接貸到7成。央行放寬的是政策上的最高成數,實際核貸仍取決於借款人的收入、負債、信用條件、房屋鑑價及銀行授信政策。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 銀行房貸放款將在未來數月內維持低位,除非購屋需求明顯回溫

    Likely · Within months

  • 央行將在未來一季內維持政策利率不變,繼續觀察房貸鬆綁效果與整體貸款需求變化

    Very likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • ?此次房貸成數調整是否會刺激實質購屋需求?
  • ?銀行未來是否會進一步調整授信政策以應對房市需求變化?
  • ?企業投資需求增加的主要來源為哪些產業?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

Quick Look

央行9月17日宣布自9月18日起將自然人第二戶購屋貸款最高成數由6成提高至7成,但五大銀行最新授信數據顯示,房貸在放款中的占比持續下降,資本支出貸款反而超越房貸,顯示銀行資金需求已轉向企業投資與週轉等多元領域,房貸鬆綁並未帶來資金回流房市。

AI-generated summary

Story signals

News tone
Neutral
Emotional intensity
Medium
News value
Moderate
Global impact
National
Urgency
Developing
Follow-up likelihood
Likely
Relevance window
Weeks

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自由时报
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Published
1 hour ago
View translation
央行
房貸
放款
央行
陳孟筠
五大銀行
正心不動產估價師聯合事務所
臺灣
房貸
放款
五大銀行
第二戶
成數
資本支出

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