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BackThe latest poll leads Li Sichuan by 8.4%. Su Qiaohui: 11/28 is the final battle.
The latest poll leads Li Sichuan by 8.4%. Su Qiaohui: 11/28 is the final battle.
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自由时报18 minutes agoPolitics2 min readChinaView original

The latest poll leads Li Sichuan by 8.4%. Su Qiaohui: 11/28 is the final battle.

Fengcan Media commissioned a design poll from National Taiwan University, and Hou Youyi’s satisfaction rate reached 70.7%

Quick Look

  • The 5th New Taipei City Mayor Election public television political statement was held on the 12th.
  • DPP candidate Su Qiaohui was interviewed before entering the venue.
  • The latest poll released by Fengcan Media on the 13th showed that Su Qiaohui's support rate was 44.0%, leading the KMT candidate Li Sichuan's 35.6%, with a lead of 8.4 percentage points; 70.7% of the people were satisfied with the performance of the current mayor Hou Youyi.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

The 5th New Taipei City Mayoral Election will be held on November 28. Fengcan Media commissioned Professor Zhang Youzong of the Department of Political Science at National Taiwan University to design a planning poll. It will use a hybrid model combining CATI telephone interviews and online surveys to target voters who are registered in New Taipei City and have the right to vote.

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The 5th New Taipei City Mayoral Election held a public television political statement today (12th). New Taipei City Mayor candidate Su Qiaohui of the Democratic Progressive Party was interviewed before entering the venue. (Photo by reporter Huang Ziyang)

The 5th New Taipei City Mayoral Election held a public television political statement today (12th). New Taipei City Mayor candidate Su Qiaohui of the Democratic Progressive Party was interviewed before entering the venue. Media questions: The latest poll shows that Su Qiaohui leads the KMT opponent Li Sichuan by 8.4 percentage points, and Zhonghe and Xindian, which are regarded as traditional deep blue areas, are also ahead. Su Qiaohui said that she carefully refers to all polls and will refer to the latest numbers carefully when they come out. If there are any shortcomings, she will continue to strengthen them. The voting results on November 28 will be the final battle of this journey.

"Fengcan Media" released the latest New Taipei City mayoral election poll today (13th). Su Qiaohui has 44.0% support, leading the Kuomintang New Taipei mayor candidate Li Sichuan's 35.6%. In addition, 70.7% of the people are satisfied with the performance of the current mayor Hou Youyi, and only 20.4% are dissatisfied.

The poll was commissioned by Fengcan Media to design and plan for the project, using a "mixed model" approach, combining CATI telephone interviews and online surveys, targeting voters with registered residence in New Taipei City and voting rights. The telephone interviews were conducted by a comprehensive market research company, and the online survey was jointly conducted by National Taiwan University's Dynamic Public Opinion Research Platform and Chuangshiji.

There are 2,033 valid samples in this survey (1,005 local telephone surveys and 1,028 online surveys). The survey combines local telephone and Internet samples, adjusts the ratio of local telephone and Internet samples to 1:1, and then weights it according to New Taipei City’s population gender, age, and administrative district structure. The survey period was from November 4 to 10 this year. The sampling error was at a 95% confidence level, and the overall percentage sampling error was within plus or minus 2.17%.

Open Questions

  • What will be the final outcome of the election?
  • Will the support of Su Qiaohui and Li Sichuan change before the voting day?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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