Breaking
DEMan trapped: van driver seriously injured in accident on A5CNThe most populous district in Taichung City, "Pinglin New Bridge" opens, connecting Beitun Chizi District directly to TaipingTRBreaking News... A 7-storey building collapsed in Maltepe, Istanbul: It was announced that 3 floors were added illegallyDEAccident in Brandenburg: Car crashes into mopeds - four young people diePLA collision on A4. Seven cars collided, causing major difficultiesEUTexas execution first in US since Christa Pike survived botched lethal injectionRUYandex services may work intermittently due to a fire in the data centerDEWeather forecast: Autumn brings unpleasant weatherSAUS-Iran standoff: What UAE residents need to know today (Oct. 8, 2026)USIsaias becomes the first hurricane of the Atlantic season as it surges towards US Gulf CoastDEMan trapped: van driver seriously injured in accident on A5CNThe most populous district in Taichung City, "Pinglin New Bridge" opens, connecting Beitun Chizi District directly to TaipingTRBreaking News... A 7-storey building collapsed in Maltepe, Istanbul: It was announced that 3 floors were added illegallyDEAccident in Brandenburg: Car crashes into mopeds - four young people diePLA collision on A4. Seven cars collided, causing major difficultiesEUTexas execution first in US since Christa Pike survived botched lethal injectionRUYandex services may work intermittently due to a fire in the data centerDEWeather forecast: Autumn brings unpleasant weatherSAUS-Iran standoff: What UAE residents need to know today (Oct. 8, 2026)USIsaias becomes the first hurricane of the Atlantic season as it surges towards US Gulf Coast
Back小熊明將爆發!有機會成今年第8個強颱 粉專揭影響日本機率
小熊明將爆發!有機會成今年第8個強颱 粉專揭影響日本機率
Developing
自由时报2 hours agoEnvironment1 min readChinaView translation

小熊明將爆發!有機會成今年第8個強颱 粉專揭影響日本機率

Quick Look

中央氣象署指出,第28號颱風「小熊」目前位於威克島西南西方海面,以時速20公里向西北西移動,預計將趨向日本東方外海。氣象粉專「台灣颱風論壇|天氣特急」表示,「小熊」環境良好,將於9日進入爆發期,有機會成為今年第8個強烈颱風,但路徑顯示影響東日本的機率低。第27號颱風「諾洛」將轉向東北,不會對東亞陸地造成影響。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

目前西北太平洋有兩個颱風在發展,分別為第27號颱風「諾洛」和第28號颱風「小熊」。

Font size

「小熊」颱風未來發展環境良好,有機會成為今年第8個強烈颱風。(圖擷自中央氣象署)

隨著「彩雲」轉為溫帶氣旋,目前西北太平洋剩兩個颱風在發展,其中「小熊」颱風未來發展環境良好,有機會成為今年第8個強烈颱風。

根據中央氣象署觀測顯示,第28號颱風「小熊」今(8日)上午8時的中心位置在北緯16.8度、東經161度,即在威克島西南西方660公里之海面上(台北東方4190公里之海面上),以每小時20公里速度,向西北西進行,未來將逐漸趨向日本東方外海。

請繼續往下閱讀...

另外跨界到西北太平洋的第27號颱風「諾洛」目前在東京東南東方1840公里之海面上,將逐漸轉向東北,不會對東亞陸地造成影響。

氣象粉專「台灣颱風論壇|天氣特急」指出,「小熊」目前仍是輕度颱風,隨著環境逐漸好轉,加上即將通過高海水熱焓量的區域,明(9日)將會進入一段爆發期,預估巔峰強度可達強烈颱風,若成為強颱將是今年第8個強烈颱風。

路徑方面,持續受副熱帶高壓導引,穩定朝西北移動,下週一(12日)走到高壓西側邊緣後就會轉向東北,「颱風論壇」認為,以目前路徑來說,影響東日本的機率「低」。

不用抽 不用搶 現在用APP看新聞 保證天天中獎 點我下載APP 按我看活動辦法

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 「小熊」颱風將於9日進入爆發期,有機會成為今年第8個強烈颱風。

    Possible · Within days

  • 「小熊」颱風將持續受副熱帶高壓導引,穩定朝西北移動,下週一(12日)走到高壓西側邊緣後轉向東北。

    Likely · Within days

  • 「小熊」颱風影響東日本的機率低。

    Likely · Within days

Open Questions

  • 「小熊」颱風是否會真的達到強烈颱風強度?
  • 「小熊」颱風最終路徑是否會改變,進而影響日本或其他地區?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by 自由时报.

Related Stories

The second phase environmental impact assessment of China Fire Gas was withdrawn. The environmental group called on Taipower to conduct a second phase environmental impact assessment.
BREAKING·

The second phase environmental impact assessment of China Fire Gas was withdrawn. The environmental group called on Taipower to conduct a second phase environmental impact assessment.

The Taipei High Administrative Court today ruled to revoke the conclusion of the second phase environmental impact assessment of China Fire Gas. Environmental groups pointed out that Taipower failed to implement the addition of one and remove one, failed to assess the impact of methane leakage and air pollution during operation, and did not propose a sunset plan. They called on the Ministry of Environment and Taipower to abandon the appeal and enter the more stringent second-level environmental impact assessment. The Ministry of Environment said that it would discuss it after receiving the judgment, and it still did not rule out an appeal.

自由时报
2 min read
There will be heavy rainfall in the eastern half of Hainan Island, and a yellow flash flood warning is issued
Urgent·

There will be heavy rainfall in the eastern half of Hainan Island, and a yellow flash flood warning is issued

The Hainan Provincial Meteorological Observatory predicts that due to the influence of the easterly jet stream, there will be heavy to heavy rains and local heavy rains in the eastern half of Hainan Island from October 8 to 9. Monitoring showed that showers or thundershowers occurred in the southeastern half from 8:00 on the 7th to 7:00 on the 8th, and the rainfall in Dongao Town, Wanning, reached 120.6 mm. The Meteorological Bureau continues to issue level four heavy rain warnings. The Department of Water Affairs and the Meteorological Bureau jointly issued yellow flash flood disaster risk warnings. Some areas in Wenchang, Haikou and other places have blue warnings for flash flood risks. Qionghai, Wanning, Qiongzhong, Ding'an, Tunchang and other places have issued yellow warnings.

中国新闻网
1 min read
The weather is fine in most parts of the country, but there is heavy rainfall in Hainan Island
Urgent·

The weather is fine in most parts of the country, but there is heavy rainfall in Hainan Island

The Central Meteorological Observatory predicts that there will be heavy rainfall in Hainan Island from the 8th to the 9th, and there may be extremely heavy rainstorms in the eastern part; there will be rain and snow in northern and southwestern Xinjiang and other places, and heavy snowfall may occur in high-altitude areas; the weather is fine in most parts of the country, but attention should be paid to the impact of rainfall on tourism and transportation and possible secondary disasters.

中国新闻网
2 min read
It rains in "3 places" during the National Day holiday! Experts warn: Heavy rain levels are expected, and the high temperature in central and southern China soars to 34 degrees
Urgent·

It rains in "3 places" during the National Day holiday! Experts warn: Heavy rain levels are expected, and the high temperature in central and southern China soars to 34 degrees

Lin De'en, a Ph.D. in atmospheric sciences at National Taiwan University, predicted that during the National Day holiday, affected by northeasterly winds, the environment will have too much water vapor. From the 9th to the 10th, there will be local short-lived showers in the north of Taoyuan, Yilan and Huadong areas, and the rainfall intensity will remain at the heavy rain level; on the 11th, there will also be local short-lived showers on the north coast of Keelung, Yilan, Greater Taipei, Huadong Mountains and the Hengchun Peninsula. In terms of temperature, from the 9th to the 10th, the high temperature in the north and outer islands was about 27 to 30 degrees, and in the south of Hsinchu and Taitung was about 30 to 33 degrees. On the 11th, the high temperature in many places across the country rose to 30 to 34 degrees, while the low temperature remained between 21 and 27 degrees.

自由时报
1 min read
2 Typhoon updates revealed! It will rain on the windward side today. Prevent localized heavy rain in "2 locations" over the weekend
Urgent·

2 Typhoon updates revealed! It will rain on the windward side today. Prevent localized heavy rain in "2 locations" over the weekend

The Central Meteorological Administration forecasts that it will be cloudy to sunny in many places in Taiwan today, with only sporadic short-lived showers on the windward side. In the next few days, the northeast monsoon will weaken and then strengthen, and there will still be short-lived showers or heavy rain in some areas. The air quality will be mainly normal, and some areas will be rated as good or orange warning level.

自由时报
2 min read
Lukang’s annual opportunity has come! 10 pieces of old clothes can be exchanged for facial masks
Urgent·

Lukang’s annual opportunity has come! 10 pieces of old clothes can be exchanged for facial masks

Lukang Town, Changhua County will hold an annual used clothes recycling event at 9 a.m. on the 9th at the Lukang Town Office Square. People can bring 10 pieces of used clothes in exchange for facial masks. The more used clothes, the more redemption items. There are also waste batteries, mobile phones, laptops recycling and In the blood donation event, if you donate 250 CC of blood, you will receive gifts and raffle tickets worth more than 700 yuan. If you donate 500 CC of blood, you will get a mysterious gift. The biggest prize in this year's raffle is a battle top. Due to site restrictions, the used clothes recycling only accepts the amount that can be loaded in 3 trucks, and it is only available when full.

自由时报
2 min read
More on this topic小熊颱風