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Back美股週五早盤走揚,聯準會暫停升息機率升至86%
美股週五早盤走揚,聯準會暫停升息機率升至86%
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自由时报1 hour agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

美股週五早盤走揚,聯準會暫停升息機率升至86%

Quick Look

美國9月非農就業數據疲軟,市場預期聯準會10月暫停升息機率攀升至86%。美債殖利率下滑、油價回檔,激勵美股週五早盤全面走揚,科技股領軍上漲,台指期夜盤同步大漲逾800點。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

美國勞工部公佈9月非農就業人口新增2.9萬人,低於預期。市場據此調整對聯準會利率政策的預期。

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美股週五早盤走揚。(路透)

美國就業報告出乎意料之外疲軟,市場對聯準會暫停升息機率達到86%,美債殖利率應聲下滑,加上油價回檔,美股週五早盤開高,科技股走揚,輝達、AMD及台積電ADR都大漲,台指期夜盤更是一度暴漲逾800點,觸及49490點。

美國勞工部統計局2日公佈,9月新增2.9萬非農就業人口,遠低於經濟學家預期的9萬人,失業率則從前一月的4.1%略升至4.2%。

就業成長較預期大幅放緩,使聯準會(Fed)10月暫緩升息的機率急遽升高。芝商所FedWatch工具數據顯示,期貨市場押注聯準會本月政策會議維持利率不變的機率,從前一天約76%飆升至86%。

美債殖利率週五同步走低,10年期美債殖利率下跌超過5個基點,來到5.176%;2年期美債殖利率下滑超過3個基點,降至4.75%。債券殖利率與價格呈反向變動。

另一方面,油價週五自高點大幅回落。此前傳出,在川普政府施壓之下,歐洲國家正在考慮釋出戰略燃料儲備。

諸多利多激勵美股週五早盤走揚,台北時間2日晚間10點13分,道瓊上漲257點,報51183點;那斯達克漲428點,報27299點;標普500指數漲73點,報7740點,費城半導體大漲425點,報13254點。同時間,台指期夜盤大漲820點,報49489點。

Open Questions

  • 聯準會10月會議最終決策為何?
  • 歐洲國家是否會採取釋出戰略儲備行動?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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