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Back新竹縣市藍白合破局,林思銘指徐欣瑩選情面臨挑戰
新竹縣市藍白合破局,林思銘指徐欣瑩選情面臨挑戰
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自由时报1 hour agoPolitics3 min readChinaView translation

新竹縣市藍白合破局,林思銘指徐欣瑩選情面臨挑戰

民眾黨下令禁止黨員為徐欣瑩輔選,國民黨立委林思銘分析選情恐受衝擊

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國民黨與民眾黨在新竹縣長及竹北市長選舉合作破局,民眾黨下令黨員不得輔選徐欣瑩。國民黨立委林思銘分析,徐欣瑩因長期未經營竹北且面臨黨內整合壓力,加上民眾黨選票流失,選情恐陷入苦戰。

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Why It Matters

國民黨與民眾黨在地方選舉中曾嘗試合作,但因互信基礎破壞及內部整合問題導致破局。竹北市近年人口結構改變,中間選民與科技業人口比例上升。

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國民黨、民眾黨在新竹縣長、竹北市長藍白合破局,民眾黨昨天下令禁止黨員替國民黨新竹縣長參選人徐欣瑩輔選,違者最重開除黨籍。對此,國民黨籍新竹縣區域立委林思銘今(7日)受訪時直言,徐欣瑩過去已有約8年沒有直接經營竹北,「她已經斷線8年了」。林思銘認為,最後可能出現國民黨拿下竹北市長、卻輸掉新竹縣長的局面。

竹北市、新竹縣藍白合破局,民眾黨昨召開中央委員會、中央評議委員擴大會議,民眾黨秘書長周榆修會後宣布,因徐欣瑩無法履行承諾,破壞藍白過去兩年互信基礎,凡有黨員公開支持、助選他黨新竹縣長、竹北市長參選人,最重可除名處分。徐欣瑩辦公室則回應,尊重各政黨機制,但希望藍白合目標不變。

林思銘今日指出,竹北近年人口快速增加,成長到約22萬人,其中約三分之二都是因工作移居的新居民,多數屬於年輕族群與科技業人口。徐欣瑩過去已有約8年沒有直接經營竹北,「她已經斷線8年了」。如何取得這批新選民與中間選民的認同,非常重要。

林思銘表示,前民眾黨主席柯文哲在2024年總統大選時,在竹北拿到很高票,因此這批不喜歡藍綠、支持民眾黨或第三勢力的選民,將直接影響新竹縣長、竹北市長選舉。現在藍白合破局後,徐欣瑩在這批選民中的處境會變得更困難,如果選民質疑她在藍白協調過程中的誠信度,就會被扣分,可能是她未來選舉一個很大的致命傷。

林思銘進一步指出,徐欣瑩在藍營內部也有整合壓力,除了過去退出國民黨、與國民黨提名人競爭等歷史包袱,這次黨內初選與副縣長陳見賢陣營攻防刀刀見骨,至今還沒法完全整合成功,對她同樣造成傷害。

林思銘認為,徐欣瑩剩下的時間不多了,必須把身段放軟,積極提出治理願景,爭取中間選民認同,也要化解外界對她誠信與過往政治選擇的疑慮。否則在藍營基本盤沒有完全回流、白營選票流失,民進黨鄭朝方來勢洶洶的壓力下,「不管有多大的優勢,都經不起這樣子的折騰。」

不過,國民黨副秘書長兼組發會主委李哲華今日受訪時則表示,藍白兩黨各有自己內部的聲音,家家有本難念的經,尤其國民黨因為有意參選者眾,基本上如果沒有一個好的一個公平、公開的機制,事實上要說服其他的參選人有困難 ,這一點也要請民眾黨的朋友理解。

李哲華指出,各政黨自己內部有所謂黨紀的約束,是各政黨自己的制度,都予以尊重,短時間可能支持者多少都會有情緒,兩黨高層都保持密切的溝通,希望能盡量平息爭議,讓雙方支持者各自回歸理性、務實面來思考。「基本上還是以審慎樂觀來看待。」

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 徐欣瑩需調整競選策略以爭取中間選民認同

    Likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 徐欣瑩如何化解黨內整合壓力?
  • 藍白雙方高層溝通是否能平息基層爭議?

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