
新一轮巴以冲突爆发满三周年,以军占领加沙63%土地,但哈马斯仍控制其余地区及大部分居民,通过征税和物资买卖每月赚取数千万美元用于招募武装人员,现有兵力约2万,具备轻武器和自制爆炸物能力,并在约旦河西岸加紧活动。
AI-generated summary
新一轮巴以冲突已爆发三周年,哈马斯曾是加沙地带的主要根据地,尽管遭到以军持续打击,但仍保留一定军事实力和治理影响力。
中新网10月10日电(记者 刁炜)新一轮巴以冲突爆发已满3周年,而依托加沙地带作为主要根据地的哈马斯武装,虽在以方持续打击下遭受严重损失,但外界普遍认为其仍拥有较强军事实力。
哈马斯武装人员进行匍匐越障训练。图/《耶路撒冷邮报》
据路透社报道,目前以军占据着加沙63%的土地,其他区域则处于哈马斯实控下,约200万加沙居民中的大多数人也集中在哈马斯控制区。
有观点称,这个新闻细节表明,以方军事占领并未转化为对人口和局势的有效掌控,哈马斯在人心向背、民事治理等层面的影响力不可小觑。
华盛顿近东政策研究所的报告称,停火一年来,每天有500至600辆载有人道主义物资的卡车进入加沙,通过向卡车收费、转售物资和民间征税,哈马斯每月可赚取数千万美元。
以色列《新消息报》称,这些资金中的很大一部分,被哈马斯用来招募、训练新成员。按照美国情报部门的说法,前者可能新吸纳了1万至1.5万武装人员。
伦敦国王学院数据显示,哈马斯武装现有兵力2万左右,其中三分之一具备实战经验,而其最精锐的“努赫巴”突击队估计还有约2500人。
德国之声电台网站指出,以军虽然缴获、摧毁了大量哈马斯武器装备,但后者依然握有超1万支轻武器和少量远程火箭弹,并能自制地雷、炸弹等爆炸物。
外媒分析认为,由于高级领导层大部被清除,重型武器也损失殆尽,现在的哈马斯武装更趋分散化,小分队游击战乃至单打独斗成为常态。
比如,9月28日和10月2日,以军出动战机对两名暴露行踪的哈马斯狙击手实施空袭。10月初,哈马斯武装引爆路边炸弹,袭击了一辆以军工程车。
外媒还援引以色列军方的说法称,加沙地下仍潜藏着数百公里长的哈马斯秘密隧道,以军将之搜出并全部摧毁,可能需要好几年时间。
除了加沙地带,哈马斯在被以色列占领的约旦河西岸也加紧活动,尤其是加大宣传力度,号召巴勒斯坦人奋起抵抗。
据半岛电视台报道,9月23日,一名29岁的巴勒斯坦青年驾车冲撞约旦河西岸的以军哨所,造成一名以色列预备役士兵重伤。
外媒称,经查,受伤以军士兵是以色列现任驻美大使之子,而那名实施袭击后被枪杀的巴勒斯坦青年,不排除就是哈马斯的支持者。
或许正如英国广播公司所言,以色列不可能彻底铲除哈马斯,尽量削弱该武装已是其所能取得的最大胜利。(完)
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
哈马斯将继续利用人道主义物资渠道为武装融资
Likely · Within months
以色列将难以在短期内彻底摧毁哈马斯地下隧道网络
Likely · Within years

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