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Back東北季風9日起再增強!賈新興示警:北台灣降至19度、宜蘭雨勢變大
東北季風9日起再增強!賈新興示警:北台灣降至19度、宜蘭雨勢變大
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自由时报9 minutes agoEnvironment3 min readChinaView translation

東北季風9日起再增強!賈新興示警:北台灣降至19度、宜蘭雨勢變大

氣象顧問賈新興預估第二波東北季風9至11日南下,迎風面雨勢轉大

Quick Look

本週第二波東北季風5日下午報到,北部及東北部明顯降溫;氣象顧問賈新興預估第二波於9至11日南下,基隆北海岸與宜蘭雨勢轉大,各地氣溫下探19至23度。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

本週第二波東北季風於5日下午報到,北部及東北部預計明顯降溫。第一波東北季風於5號晚至7號立冬期間影響台灣,週日8號東北風短暫休一天,各地天氣相對穩定,僅山區偶有零星雨。第二波於9至11日南下,帶來強東北風,迎風面基隆北海岸與宜蘭雨勢再度轉大且持續時間偏長。

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本週第2波東北季風今(5)日下半天報到,北部及東北部地區預計明顯降溫。台灣整合防災工程技術顧問公司總監賈新興指出,東北季風第一波(5號晚~7號立冬),週日空檔8號,東北風短暫「休一天」,各地天氣相對穩定,僅山區偶零星雨,可把握機會洗曬衣物;第二波9號至11號,強東北風南下,迎風面基隆北海岸與宜蘭雨勢再度轉大且持續時間偏長。

賈新興在臉書發文表示,北台灣及宜蘭的朋友好好把握今日的陽光,台北今天高溫28至29度;8號短暫回溫;9至11日第二強東北季風南下,白天高溫降至22至23度,清晨夜間低溫下探19至20度(空曠處更低),12日起回溫;台中昨天高溫達31.1度;明後天白天高溫仍有30至32度;但9至11日白天高溫降至26至27度,清晨夜間低溫將直接「跌破20度」(來到19至20度左右),早晚轉涼極為有感;高雄降溫感受較慢,9號白天高溫仍接近30度;10號起清晨與夜間低溫將跌至20度左右、白天高溫降至27至28度,日夜溫差稍大;花蓮受兩波東北風豐沛水氣影響,9至10日氣溫約20至24度,體感以「潮濕偏涼」為主。

賈新興指出,8號東北風休一天,9號水氣再炸,第一波5號晚至7號立冬,週日空檔8號,東北風短暫「休一天」,各地天氣相對穩定,僅山區偶零星雨,可把握機會洗曬衣物;第二波9號至11號強東北風南下,迎風面基隆北海岸與宜蘭雨勢再度轉大且持續時間偏長。

賈新興續指,極地渦旋(Polar Vortex)與平流層暖變(SSW)會影響台灣嗎?極地渦旋(Polar Vortex):位於高空 10 公里以上的極區強西風環流。強的時候能把冷空氣「鎖在北極」;一旦減弱或被擾動,極區嚴寒冷空氣就會像蛇行一樣南下,形成阻塞高壓(Blocking High)!平流層突然增暖(SSW):平流層西風減弱轉東風,將慢慢導致極渦崩潰分裂,常讓北美中西部、歐洲出現極端暴風雪與世紀酷寒,台灣會受極寒影響嗎?最新模式顯示,這波極渦南下的冷空氣主要傾瀉在北美與歐洲一帶;亞洲與台灣目前位處高氣壓邊緣,主要是典型的東北季風涼冷水氣,暫時沒有直接面對北極渦旋冷空氣的大傾瀉!

賈新興提醒,煙花颱風在日本東南方遠海轉向東北遠離,對台日「完全無影響」,模式顯示8至9日前後,有新熱帶系統/颱風發展機率,7日「立冬」養生提醒,「立冬補冬,不要補過頭!」現代人平時營養充足,進補少油少鹽少喝湯,多吃白色潤燥食材(白蘿蔔、山藥、白木耳)。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 8至9日前後有新熱帶系統或颱風發展機率

    Possible · Within days

  • 12日起台灣氣溫回溫

    Likely · Within days

Open Questions

  • 第二波東北季風結束後,具體回溫日期是否確定為12日?
  • 新熱帶系統或颱風發展機率是否會對台灣構成直接威脅?

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