The path has twists and turns! Meteorological fan expert: Fireworks and typhoons are still highly variable at present

Fireworks Typhoon continues to intensify and is expected to become a strong typhoon tomorrow (28th). It currently has no impact on Taiwan. In this regard, the weather expert "Taiwan Typhoon Forum | Weather Emergency" pointed out that the fireworks will continue to move along the edge of the subtropical high pressure, but the strength of the high pressure will change repeatedly, and the trend of the fireworks will also adjust accordingly. The path may have twists and turns, and the variables are still large at present.

The fan forum "Taiwan Typhoon Forum | Weather Emergency" posted on Facebook that Typhoon Fireworks is currently located east of Guam, about 4,300 kilometers away from Taiwan. Its intensity has reached the middle stage of a moderate typhoon. It is expected to have the opportunity to intensify into a severe typhoon tomorrow. It will continue to move along the edge of the subtropical high pressure in the next few days. However, the strength of the high pressure changes repeatedly, and the trend of Fireworks will also adjust accordingly.

According to Fenzhuan's analysis, the high pressure temporarily weakened over the weekend, and the amount of fireworks increased to the north. It briefly turned northward, and then the high pressure strengthened again, which will guide the typhoon to move westward. When the next wave of high pressure weakens, it will have the opportunity to turn north again, and finally turn to the northeast. That is, there may be a tortuous path of "westward → northward → westward → northward again". Currently, the possibility of eventually turning to the northeast is high, but how far west it goes and where it turns north again are still highly variable.

Fanzhuan believes that based on the current data, the probability of approaching and affecting Taiwan is very low, and the probability of approaching Japan is medium to low. The impact depends on the path, but the occurrence of companion effects cannot be ruled out, and it is necessary to continue to pay attention to the dynamics of typhoons.