Typhoon Fireworks, the 30th typhoon this year, intensified into a severe typhoon today and is also the 10th severe typhoon this year. The Central Meteorological Administration pointed out that there are many and strong strong typhoons this year, which is related to the fact that this year is the year of the super El Niño phenomenon.
The Meteorological Administration pointed out that during the development of strong El Niño, the sea temperature distribution and atmospheric circulation in the tropical Pacific will change accordingly, which may further affect the typhoon generating environment and activity characteristics in the northwest Pacific. Judging from past observations, the three super El Nino years of 1997, 2015 and 2026 have similar characteristics in terms of the number, proportion and average generation location of strong typhoons.
The Meteorological Administration's statistical data period is from 1996 to 2026, with complete annual data collected from 1996 to 2025. This year, statistics are collected until October 28. The Meteorological Administration pointed out that since 2026 has not yet ended, the relevant rankings and proportions must still be interpreted with caution when comparing them with previous complete years.
The first feature of this year is the high number of severe typhoons. As of October 28, 2026, there have been a total of 10 severe typhoons, exceeding the number in the whole of 2015; in 1997, there were 11 in the whole year. The number of severe typhoons in 1997, 2015 and 2026 were 11, 9 and 10 respectively; and in the five "strong anti-El Nino" years, 1998, 1999, 2007, 2010 and 2020, the number of severe typhoons did not exceed 3. This shows that during the development of super El Nino, the number of severe typhoons is relatively high and deserves continued attention.
The Meteorological Administration also pointed out that the proportion of strong typhoons this year is relatively high. The proportions of strong typhoons in 1997, 2015 and 2026 are about 35%, 33% and 33% of the annual typhoons respectively. According to the statistical data from 1996 to 2026, the average proportion of strong typhoons in these three super-intelligent years is about 33.3%, which is higher than the 16.2% in normal years and 13.4% in the anti-Infant years.
The Meteorological Administration pointed out that the number of severe typhoons in 1997, 2015 and 2026 was not only larger, but also accounted for a significantly higher proportion of typhoons throughout the year, showing the characteristics of more active severe typhoon activities during the "Super Innocent Years".
Another characteristic is that the average typhoon generating position is eastward. The Meteorological Administration pointed out that the average typhoon generating position in 1997, 2015 and 2026 all showed easterly characteristics. During the development of Super El Niño, the sea temperature distribution and atmospheric circulation in the tropical Pacific will change accordingly. The northwest Pacific monsoon trough will extend eastward, and the average typhoon generating position will also be eastward.
The Meteorological Administration pointed out that when a typhoon forms in the more easterly waters, it may have a longer maritime development path and time; if the ocean heat content and atmospheric environmental conditions are suitable, it may continue to intensify and develop into a strong typhoon. However, whether a typhoon can intensify is still affected by multiple factors such as the ocean and atmospheric environment, and cannot be judged solely by its location.
The Meteorological Administration pointed out that these results reflect that the sea temperature distribution and atmospheric circulation changes during the development of super El Niño are closely related to the characteristics of typhoon activity in the northwest Pacific. Continuous monitoring of the maritime environment and typhoon activities will help deepen our understanding of the impact of the super strong El Niño climate.
