Analysis of Kaohsiung City Councilor Lin Yukai of the People's Party running for Sanmin District

The Kuomintang Party has only launched one city council candidate in Kaohsiung City this time, Lin Yukai. The number of candidates is the smallest among the six cities. He will once again participate in the three-min district election. The party headquarters evaluates the current election situation and determines that there should be no problem in re-election of the five current seats of the National and Democratic parties. The other three seats are up for grabs by five people.

Kaohsiung City Councilor District 7 (Sanmin District) has increased from 7 seats to 8 seats this time. Liu Jiarong, chairman of the Kaohsiung City Party Committee of the People's Party, assessed that the current members Kang Yucheng, Zheng Mengzhen, and He Quanfeng nominated by the DPP; the current members Huang Bolin and Huang Xiangshu nominated by the Kuomintang all have dense seats. , stakes support, there should be no problem in re-election of these 5 seats; the remaining 3 seats will be competed by Tong Yanzhen from the Kuomintang, Zhang Boyang, who was originally from the Taiwan Foundation and is now independent, and the current deputy speaker Tsang Junjie, who is independent, former Taiwan Federation member Huang Shumei, and Lin Yukai from the People's Party.

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In response to Lin Yukai's current election situation, Liu Jiarong said that it is now a duck to water. Lin Yukai was elected as a member of the assembly for the first time in 2018 by relying on the power of the times, and received a high number of votes in Sanmin District. In 2022, he lost the election with more than 9,000 votes. Even if it is cut in half this time, he still has 4,5,000 or 5,000 votes. If Li Jialing of the People's Party in the past is willing to vote in Sanmin District, she can get about 10,000 votes. He "estimates that he is still 3,500 votes away from being elected, so he will have to work hard in the last 70 days!"

Lin Yukai also believes that the three seats of the DPP and the two seats of the Kuomintang in Sanmin District are relatively stable. There are about five people left competing for the three seats. The gap between the 6th, 7th, 8th and 9th place will be very small, maybe between a few hundred votes to 1,000 or 2,000 votes. It will not be known until the day when the votes are opened.

In the last 70 days of the election campaign, Lin Yukai's strategy was to call out the supporters of the People's Party and the median voters. He said that the median voters have a relatively high degree of voting autonomy, but they may not necessarily come out to vote. "Now we must make the median voters willing to come out to vote!"

Lin Yukai also predicted that Ke Wenzhe, the founding chairman of the People’s Party, will accompany him to sweep the streets on October 3; his campaign headquarters will be established on October 4 and a Labor and Parenting Day will be held. Party Chairman Huang Guochang will also go south to support him.