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Back蔣萬安與白營越靠越近!戴立安分析結果將「得不償失」
蔣萬安與白營越靠越近!戴立安分析結果將「得不償失」
Politics
自由时报19 minutes agoPolitics2 min readChinaView translation

蔣萬安與白營越靠越近!戴立安分析結果將「得不償失」

台北市長選戰白熱化,蔣萬安頻頻與民眾黨人物同框直播引發討論。民調專家戴立安直言,此策略恐得不償失,並坦言受傷最大的是藍營小雞。

Quick Look

台北市長蔣萬安近期頻頻靠近民眾黨引發關注。民調專家戴立安在節目中指出,蔣萬安藉此尋求連任的策略恐得不償失,並直言此舉對藍營小雞與竹北藍營候選人造成最大傷害,背後可能經過政治算計。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

台北市長選戰進入白熱化階段,現任市長蔣萬安近期動作頻頻,引發政壇對於藍白合作與選民結構變化的討論。

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台北市長選戰進入白熱化,台北市長蔣萬安近日頻頻靠近民眾黨,與白營人物同框直播或一起活動,甚至希望與民眾黨創黨主席柯文哲同台。對此,民調專家戴立安指出,此策略恐得不償失。

信民協會理事長黃清龍與民調專家戴立安,昨日接受資深媒體人黃暐瀚節目「下班瀚你聊」專訪,分析全台多地目前選民結構與政黨傾向。其中,黃暐瀚問到,蔣萬安靠近白營是否傷害藍營議員選情?另外,此舉無非是蔣萬安判斷藍白合作,就能順利連任,這麼做有效嗎?

對此,黃清龍表示,藍白現在加起來有沒有過半是個問號,「這是個賭博」,現在還敢大聲喊「我是白的」,在他們做的民調中只剩下4%,但這些人根本就不用去合,本來就會去支持蔣萬安。

戴立安則表示,這一塊現在被拿來當見柯文哲的「敲門磚」。面對黃暐瀚追問,見柯文哲是加分還是扣分?戴立安說,「他們認為會加分,但這樣的做法會得不償失」。戴立安直言,現在被傷害最大的是藍營小雞以及像是竹北的藍營候選人,同時坦言現在的操作非常奇怪,「為了保母雞,小雞可能就比較辛苦了」。

戴立安說,這背後關鍵人物包括蔣萬安與台中市長盧秀燕,當然,盧秀燕若保住蔣萬安當選,對2028爭取提名就是很大的助力,不然現任台中市長在台北當競選總部主委,在台中市民眼中顯然觀感不好,所以在背後一定經過算計跟評估,他們覺得重要的一定放前面,這些小雞就變得很可憐。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 藍營候選人與民眾黨互動將持續受政壇與民調檢視

    Likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 蔣萬安未來是否會與柯文哲實體同台?
  • 藍白策略對台北市議員選情實際衝擊為何?

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