Breaking
GLOBALWorld Leaders Convene at UN General Assembly Amid Global CrisesCNOn the eve of the Trump-Xi meeting, China warned that the red line cannot be challenged. The United States, Japan and South Korea jointly expressed support for Taiwan.CNHong Kong singer Han Ziliang's death is reported again. He was sent to the hospital twice due to drug overdose.RUA Russian tourist in Bali became the victim of a pickpocket in a nightclubRUThe death toll of American troops in the conflict with Iran has reached 19CNMiaoli Dahu Township holds a Mid-Autumn Festival guest house celebration, free tasting of 800 kilograms of premium pears, and smoking of 125cc motorcyclesCNUS-China investment disagreements stall Chinese business delegation plans for Xi visitKR3 women killed in Hwaseong massage parlor fireAUInterstate AFL fans gather at Melbourne pubs ahead of Grand FinalARTrump warns Iran of an agreement or total destruction and Ben Gvir seeks to take over the Israeli defense portfolioGLOBALWorld Leaders Convene at UN General Assembly Amid Global CrisesCNOn the eve of the Trump-Xi meeting, China warned that the red line cannot be challenged. The United States, Japan and South Korea jointly expressed support for Taiwan.CNHong Kong singer Han Ziliang's death is reported again. He was sent to the hospital twice due to drug overdose.RUA Russian tourist in Bali became the victim of a pickpocket in a nightclubRUThe death toll of American troops in the conflict with Iran has reached 19CNMiaoli Dahu Township holds a Mid-Autumn Festival guest house celebration, free tasting of 800 kilograms of premium pears, and smoking of 125cc motorcyclesCNUS-China investment disagreements stall Chinese business delegation plans for Xi visitKR3 women killed in Hwaseong massage parlor fireAUInterstate AFL fans gather at Melbourne pubs ahead of Grand FinalARTrump warns Iran of an agreement or total destruction and Ben Gvir seeks to take over the Israeli defense portfolio
Back殷瑋澄清蔣萬安與沈伯洋民調差距,稱藍營仍領先兩位數
殷瑋澄清蔣萬安與沈伯洋民調差距,稱藍營仍領先兩位數
Developing
自由时报1 hour agoPolitics2 min readChinaView translation

殷瑋澄清蔣萬安與沈伯洋民調差距,稱藍營仍領先兩位數

Quick Look

台北市政府研考會主委殷瑋澄清,蔣萬安陣營內部民調顯示蔣與民進黨參選人沈伯洋仍有兩位數支持度差距,質疑信民協會民調結果偏差,並否認將退居二線的傳聞。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

台北市長選舉將於今年舉行,現任市長蔣萬安尋求連任,民進黨提名沈伯洋參選。近期多家民調機構發布支持度調查,結果呈現競爭激烈的態樣。

Font size

殷瑋昨澄清,蔣陣營內參民調中蔣與沈仍有兩位數差距,張益贍對此則笑說:「聽到殷瑋這句話我安心不少,藍營選民也可以安心出國了。」(資料照)

信民協會昨(22日)發布台北市長選舉民調,指稱民進黨市長參選人沈伯洋支持度僅落後台北市長蔣萬安1.2個百分點。市政府研考會主委殷瑋昨晚受訪澄清,蔣陣營內參民調中蔣與沈仍有兩位數差距,該協會民調數字有點距離。名嘴張益贍對此則笑說:「聽到殷瑋這句話我安心不少,藍營選民也可以安心出國了。」

殷瑋指出,該民調聲稱在台北市支持藍營比支持綠營民眾少8.5個百分點,甚至連藍白加起來都比綠營支持者少,「與我們認知有一點差別」。此外,民調也提及蔣萬安在大安區支持度輸沈伯洋,不過蔣上次選舉唯一輸的大同區卻是贏沈,殷瑋也質疑:「這到底是怎麼回事?」

請繼續往下閱讀...

至於外傳殷瑋將「退居二線」的消息,殷瑋則澄清,沒有所謂因蔣萬安仇恨值高、他要退居二線的規劃與選戰策略異動,他該為市政說話的聲音都會持續存在。

名嘴張益贍總結殷瑋發言兩大重點,包括「蔣內參民調仍兩位數差距」、「自己未退居二線」,張益贍酸說:「聽到殷瑋這句話我安心不少,藍營選民也可以安心出國了。」許多網友也留言:「聽到殷瑋還在,我就安心了,真的沒有他不行~」、「街頭和內參與網路民調不可信,講這種外行話難怪是狗頭軍師。」、「他那麼好鬥怎麼可能屈居二線!」、「那我就放心了~」、「堅持不要退二線比較恐怖……」、「這次我挺殷瑋!」

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 台北市長選舉將在未來數月內持續激烈競爭,民調結果將成為關注焦點

    Likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • 信民協會民調與蔣陣營內部民調為何會有這樣的落差?
  • 殷瑋是否真的有退居二線的規劃?
  • 台北市民對兩位候選人的實際支持度是多少?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by 自由时报.

Related Stories

On the eve of the Trump-Xi meeting, China warned that the red line cannot be challenged. The United States, Japan and South Korea jointly expressed support for Taiwan.
BREAKING·

On the eve of the Trump-Xi meeting, China warned that the red line cannot be challenged. The United States, Japan and South Korea jointly expressed support for Taiwan.

U.S. President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are expected to hold a bilateral meeting in Washington on the 24th. Before the meeting, Chinese Ambassador to the United States Xie Feng warned that China had red lines that could not be crossed on issues such as Taiwan and human rights, and called on the United States to stop using national security as an excuse to contain China. At the same time, the foreign ministers of the United States, Japan and South Korea issued a joint statement in New York, emphasizing the importance of maintaining peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait and supporting Taiwan's meaningful participation in international organizations.

自由时报
1 min read
The Trump administration has set a refugee ceiling of 17,500 people, mainly targeting the white Afrikaners in South Africa.
Developing·

The Trump administration has set a refugee ceiling of 17,500 people, mainly targeting the white Afrikaners in South Africa.

The Trump administration plans to cap refugee admissions in the next year at 17,500, with the Afrikaans as the main resettlement targets, triggering criticism from refugee groups who question the move as excluding other vulnerable groups fleeing persecution. The U.S. State Department submitted a notice to Congress with an estimated cost of about US$500 million, claiming that the group would be easy to integrate and would not crowd out public resources. After returning to the White House in January 2025, Trump suspended all refugee admissions on the grounds of national interest. A few weeks later, he announced that South African Afrikaners would be prioritized for resettlement, claiming that this group was racially persecuted in South Africa, but the South African government denied this statement. According to the State Department, in the fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, the United States accepted nearly 3,000 refugees, all but three of whom were South Africans, which is far lower than the Biden administration’s figure of more than 100,000 refugees from dozens of countries in the 2024 fiscal year. Wignaraja, president of the refugee aid organization Global Asylum, said that a single-ethnic refugee plan would abandon the United States' leadership in global humanitarian aid and abandon thousands of vulnerable families.

自由时报
3 min read
The Prosecutor General analyzes whether giving gifts during the Mid-Autumn Festival constitutes election bribery: the key lies in the consideration relationship rather than the value of the gift
Developing·

The Prosecutor General analyzes whether giving gifts during the Mid-Autumn Festival constitutes election bribery: the key lies in the consideration relationship rather than the value of the gift

Changhua County Speaker Hsieh Dian-lin was detained for engaging in bribery at banquets. In an interview, Taichung District Prosecutor’s Office Chief Prosecutor Hong Jiayuan emphasized that giving gifts or treating people to meals during the election does not automatically constitute vote bribery. The key lies in whether a consideration relationship between interests and voting support is formed and goes beyond general social etiquette. At the same time, be wary of new election interference such as digital interests and false information.

自由时报
2 min read
Han Guoyu went south to Kaohsiung to attend the World Taiwanese Business Dinner and reunited with Ke Zhien
Developing·

Han Guoyu went south to Kaohsiung to attend the World Taiwanese Business Dinner and reunited with Ke Zhien

Legislative Yuan Hanguo-yu went south to Kaohsiung last night to attend the Legislative Yuan Dinner of the World Federation of Taiwan Chambers of Commerce Annual Meeting, and reunited with Kuomintang Kaohsiung Mayor Ke Zhien. Ke Zhien expressed his pleasure to meet Han Guoyu and thanked Taiwanese businessmen for their contributions to Taiwan. He emphasized that Taiwanese businessmen are Taiwan's "power that never sets" and looked forward to working together to promote the development of Kaohsiung in the future.

自由时报
2 min read
The EU emphasizes that the United Nations General Assembly Resolution 2758 does not mention Taiwan and allows it to participate in the international system.
Developing·

The EU emphasizes that the United Nations General Assembly Resolution 2758 does not mention Taiwan and allows it to participate in the international system.

During the 81st session of the United Nations General Assembly, a spokesman for the European Union stated that the United Nations General Assembly Resolution 2758 is only 150 words and does not mention Taiwan. As long as it complies with the rules or practices of the organization, Taiwan should be allowed to participate in the international system, especially when its professional capabilities can bring added value. The EU reiterates the importance of maintaining peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait, opposes unilateral use of force to change the status quo, and calls for resolving differences through cross-strait dialogue.

自由时报
1 min read
More on this topic殷瑋