
Tesla and SpaceX shares drop following major Democratic upsets in Texas, while broader markets push higher.
AI-generated summary
Democrats flipped both the Senate and the House in the midterm elections, providing a legislative check on President Donald Trump.
Hello, this is Leonie Kidd with today's edition of Morning Squawk.
A blue wave means green for markets. Wall Street is on track to open higher, but certain technology stocks are under pressure, with the sellers circling Elon Musk's companies.
Happening now: Blue wave
The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures have all rallied from session lows overnight, as the positive sentiment from the midterm results built momentum.
The Democrats have taken control of Congress, flipping the Senate and winning the House in a stinging rebuke to President Donald Trump and his economic record.
U.S. President Donald Trump struck a conciliatory tone in a series of interviews overnight, saying he "will work with the Democrats on many things," and that he is "absolutely willing to accept" the election results.
Alongside the swing in the futures market, the U.S. dollar fell to a one-month low, while Treasury yields dipped and gold rose as investors crowded into safe-haven trades.
Analysis: For an instant overnight reaction, Andrew Slimmon from Morgan Stanley IM told Squawk Box Europe that "markets like gridlock, they don't like a party with too much power."
What next: High Frequency Economics' Carl Weinberg warned the Democrats are not "veto-proof" and that the coming days will reveal their ability to push through policy that could address the affordability crisis.
Big Movers: On the downside
First up, there is the Elon Musk trade.
Both SpaceX and Tesla are down heavily in premarket trading. The shock of the night came from Texas, where Democrats scored an extraordinary pair of victories in traditionally Republican seats. James Talarico defeated Ken Paxton, becoming the first Democrat elected to the U.S. Senate from the state in nearly four decades. Gina Hinojosa defeated three-term Gov. Greg Abbott, making her the first Democratic governor of Texas since Ann Richards left office in 1995.
Why it matters: The flipping of these seats is being seen as the biggest blow to tech stocks, with Horizon Investments' Scott Lander saying, "Texas is a fertile ground for that. And if he (Abbott) were to lose, I think that fertile ground is largely barren. So, that's going to be a challenge."
The anti-Musk trade: Losing those seats in Texas has also exposed Elon Musk, after he spent record sums in a failed effort to keep republicans in power.
Big Movers: On the upside
Other tech stocks are moving higher premarket.
Amazon, Alphabet and Nvidia have recovered from earlier declines, despite concerns that state-level data center restrictions could delay projects in major buildout markets.
The contrarian view: CNBC's Steve Sedgwick stress-tested this theory on Squawk Box Europe, asking whether this could give the hyperscalers and neocloud companies a reason to pull back on the blistering spending pace that has concerned some investors. In a way, "getting them out of jail from some of their more exorbitant expansion plans and maybe preventing them from creating too much capacity."
Outside the results reaction, AMD is a big gainer in premarket trading. The chipmaker reported third-quarter earnings that beat Wall Street forecasts, with revenues at the data center business nearly doubling over the period.
Coming up: Join Squawk on the Street for a First on CNBC interview with CEO Lisa Su at 9 am ET today.
Developing: Foreign policy pathway
Iran is one of the first foreign nations to react to the midterm results.
Tehran's speaker of parliament, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, said Americans have said "NO TO WAR," as the results came in.
Trump said that the Iran war was partly to blame for the Republican losses, saying "people were probably not willing to accept the short-term consequences of the price of gasoline." He also told the Financial Times he has no immediate plans to strike Iran.
Analysis: Experts told CNBC that Democratic majorities could bring tougher oversight and greater scrutiny of the administration's handling of Iran and Ukraine.
And Finally...
5 midterm election takeaways: Tech billionaires suffer as Democrats drub Republicans
Democrats decisively took control of Congress Tuesday night, delivering a stinging rebuke to Trump and his economic record as voters voiced deep frustration with rising prices, government corruption and the AI data center build-out.
Democratic control of both chambers gives the party a powerful check on Trump in the final two years of his term, including the ability to block parts of his agenda and intensify congressional oversight. The results sent a clear warning: promises to bring down costs did not overcome voters' frustration with prices, corruption and the country's direction.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
CEO Lisa Su to be interviewed on Squawk on the Street at 9 am ET.
Very likely · Within hours

Treasury yields fell on Wednesday as investors reacted to Democratic majorities in the U.S. House and Senate, anticipating potential constraints on government spending under the Trump administration.

AI stocks fell overnight after Democrats won key midterm races, including the Texas governorship, raising concerns about data center moratoriums. Nasdaq-100 futures dropped 2%, while CoreWeave fell 7%, Nebius Group 4%, SpaceX 6%, and Oracle 4% on Robinhood. Wells Fargo warned a Democratic Texas win could be a left-tail event for the AI trade.

Analysts warn a Democratic sweep of Congress in the 2026 midterms could pressure AI, defense, and financial stocks into year-end, while a Republican hold on both chambers might spur a rally. JPMorgan sees a blue wave knocking the S&P 500 by about half a percent on Wednesday, while Evercore ISI warns of a double-digit retreat if Iran escalates and Democrats take Congress.

Treasury yields fell as investors sought shelter from an equity futures sell-off sparked by projected Democratic victories in the U.S. midterm elections, including a projected House win and a flipped Senate seat in North Carolina. The 10-year yield dropped nearly 5 basis points to 4.902%, while S&P 500 futures fell 1.1% and Nasdaq-100 futures slid 2%.

US tech stocks recovered Tuesday afternoon after an AI spending selloff, with the S&P 500 up 0.37% and Nasdaq up 0.83% at market close, while investors weighed potential Democratic gains in the midterm elections and their implications for AI regulation.

US tech giants are aggressively issuing bonds to fund AI expansion, creating intense competition for capital that is driving up borrowing costs for European governments and companies, potentially straining public finances and corporate investment.