What do the polls say before the elections in the USA?

In the USA, elections will be held on November 3 for the entire 435-seat House of Representatives and 35 seats in the 100-seat Senate.

According to the average of polls conducted across the country regarding the elections, although Democrats seem to have an advantage in both the House of Representatives and the Senate, the outcome is expected to be determined by the constituencies where the race is neck-and-neck.

Democrats appear ahead in the Senate

According to the table on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) news platform, which compiles general and state-level surveys, it is estimated that 47 of the seats in the Senate will be won by Democrats and 45 by Republicans.

In eight states, the candidates' head-to-head race continues. Of the seats with a neck-and-neck race, 7 appear to be Republican-leaning and 1 Democratic-leaning.

Republicans are expected to reach 50 seats in the Senate if they win at least 5 of the seats in the 8 states where the neck-and-neck race continues. If there is a 50-50 tie in the Senate, Vice President J.D. Vance's tie-breaking vote could give Republicans a majority.

According to the law, the US Vice President, who also serves as the President of the Senate, can cast the tiebreaking vote in favor of his party.

Democrats appear to have an advantage in the House of Representatives

In the House of Representatives, which will all be up for election, the party that reaches 218 seats will gain the majority.

According to the current table in the RCP, Republicans are expected to win 182 seats in the House of Representatives and Democrats are expected to win 227 seats.

The gap is narrowing in the race between Democrats and Republicans for 26 seats in the House of Representatives.

Accordingly, Democrats, who are expected to gain the majority, seem to have an advantage in the House of Representatives.

What is the current table like?

In the US, Republicans currently have 53 seats in the Senate and Democrats have 45 seats. Independents, who hold two seats, act with Democrats on many issues.

In the House of Representatives, Republicans have 218 seats, Democrats have 214 seats, independents have 1 seat, and 2 seats are vacant.