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Back美台「期中考」兩樣情 吳靜怡:讓台灣民眾焦慮的是藍白在野黨
美台「期中考」兩樣情 吳靜怡:讓台灣民眾焦慮的是藍白在野黨
Developing
自由时报1 hour agoOpinion2 min readChinaView translation

美台「期中考」兩樣情 吳靜怡:讓台灣民眾焦慮的是藍白在野黨

媒体人吴静怡分析美国中期选举与台湾九合一选举的民意差异

Quick Look

美国中期选举民主党夺取参众两院控制权,重创川普与共和党。媒体人吴静怡分析,美国选民用选票制衡不安的执政当局,而台湾民众焦虑的并非执政者,而是掌握立法院多数席次的蓝白在野党。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

美国刚落幕的中期选举是川普重返白宫后的期中检验;台湾今年的九合一地方大选同样是赖清德执政满两年的期中考。

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美国中期选举结果揭晓,民主党取得国会参众两院控制权,重创美国总统川普及共和党在华府的执政版图。媒体人吴静怡对此发文分析,美台「期中考」两样情,在美国选民用选票制衡令他们不安的执政当局,不过在台湾民众焦虑的并非执政者,反而是掌握立法院多数席次的蓝白在野党。

吴静怡在脸书发文指出,美国刚落幕的期中选举,是川普重返白宫后的期中检验;反观台湾,今年度的九合一地方大选,同样也是赖清德执政满两年的「期中考」。然而,美台两地的民意走向,却呈现截然不同的风景!

吴静怡表示,目前各项国政民调都显示,赖清德稳健的施政满意度,已成为绿营投入选战最坚实的民意基底,反观在野党,在这次选战中,国民党、民众党既没有走出新格局,也未能拥抱新世代,反而满嘴「青鸟」、沉迷于煽动政治仇恨的舆论战,而今年选战由公民发起的汇聚跨世代共鸣「洋流现象」,恐怕正是激起新一波民意浪潮崛起的关键原因!

吴静怡分析,在美国,选民用选票制衡令他们不安的执政当局;但在台湾,真正让民众感到焦虑不安的并非执政者,反而是掌握立法院多数席次的蓝白在野党!大罢免后座力,成为钟摆效应最大的力量,洋流浪潮可不可以冲垮蓝营自以为厚实的组织墙,「公民参与式选举」是这场选战可能改变台湾选举史的最佳印证。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 洋流浪潮可能冲垮蓝营自以为厚实的组织墙

    Possible · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 洋流现象是否能冲垮蓝营组织墙
  • 大罢免后座力对选举的具体影响
  • 台湾选举最终结果如何

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