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Back魯比歐:伊朗「完全失去」對荷姆茲海峽控制
魯比歐:伊朗「完全失去」對荷姆茲海峽控制
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自由时报5 hours agoWorld2 min readChinaView translation

魯比歐:伊朗「完全失去」對荷姆茲海峽控制

美國副總統范斯強調伊朗須實質削減濃縮鈾能力以換取協議

Quick Look

美國國務卿魯比歐表示伊朗已失去荷姆茲海峽控制權且經濟崩潰,重申伊朗不得擁有核武。副總統范斯則要求伊朗須實質削減濃縮鈾能力,以換取結束戰爭的協議,並拒絕僅以口頭承諾作為交換條件。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

美伊兩國近期針對結束戰爭及重開荷姆茲海峽進行提案交換。伊朗目前面臨嚴厲制裁,其經濟狀況持續惡化。

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美國國務卿魯比歐7日表示,伊朗已經「完全失去」對荷姆茲海峽的控制,並指德黑蘭的經濟「正徹底且完全陷入自由落體」,他也重申伊朗不能擁有核武;美國副總統范斯(JD Vance)接受路透專訪也提出,伊朗須實質削減濃縮鈾能力,才能滿足美國的要求,結束戰爭。

出口石油量接近戰爭前

法新社7日報導,魯比歐7日訪問希臘雅典期間,向記者說,「荷姆茲海峽是開放的,現在經過那裡出口的石油量,幾乎與這場衝突展開之前一樣,所以,他們(伊朗)已經完全失去對這處海峽的控制」。

他指出,「嚴厲的」制裁已導致伊朗經濟「幾乎陷入這世界上少有國家經歷的處境」,伊朗政權取得的每一分錢都花在黎巴嫩親伊朗團體「真主黨」(Hezbollah)和巴勒斯坦激進組織「哈瑪斯」(Hamas)上。

魯比歐重申,「伊朗不能擁有核武,就是這樣,別無討論餘地」,任何伊朗同意、能讓美國接受的方案,「都必須是能確保伊朗永遠不會擁有核武」。

美國副總統范斯5日在阿拉斯加助選行程中接受路透專訪表示,伊朗必須「有意義地」削減其濃縮鈾能力,來符合美國的要求,結束持續已7個月的戰爭。他說,任何協議都須要求伊朗實際減少濃縮產能,而非僅口頭承諾,「若你不想要核武,為何需要濃度60%的濃縮燃料?若你想展現不製造核武的決心,就不要生產高濃縮燃料,這是非常基本的門檻問題」。

美國和伊朗最近幾週交換旨在結束戰爭並且重開荷姆茲海峽的提案,不過,美國總統川普拒絕了德黑蘭的最新提議,並警告期中選舉後會升高軍事行動。

范斯說,美國對於達成協議依然持開放態度,但是需要伊朗在核武問題上有具體讓步,「若他們想展現承諾不發展核武,就應該在濃縮產能上採取實際行動」,「我們不會以口頭說說來交換具體行動」。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 美國將在期中選舉後評估對伊朗的軍事行動升級

    Likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • 伊朗是否會接受美國提出的濃縮鈾削減要求?
  • 美國期中選舉後將採取何種具體軍事行動?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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