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Back美國限制AI資料中心恐衝擊台灣?杜奕瑾:擋得住建設、擋不住需求
美國限制AI資料中心恐衝擊台灣?杜奕瑾:擋得住建設、擋不住需求
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自由时报40 minutes agoTech3 min readChinaView translation

美國限制AI資料中心恐衝擊台灣?杜奕瑾:擋得住建設、擋不住需求

Quick Look

美國期中選舉後,多州AI資料中心政策可能調整,華爾街投資人拋售相關類股。台灣人工智慧實驗室創辦人杜奕瑾表示,AI需求不會因美國選舉消失,資料中心限制供給不等於需求消失,台灣擁有先進半導體與AI伺服器供應鏈,是全世界最好合作的夥伴。

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Why It Matters

美國期中選舉後,多州AI資料中心政策可能調整,華爾街投資人拋售相關類股。杜奕瑾在臉書PO文表示,可以禁資料中心,擋不住AI的需求,電力不足、土地爭議、環境衝擊、地方政府反對,甚至出現限制或暫停興建資料中心的呼聲。

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美國期中選舉後,多州AI資料中心政策可能調整。華爾街投資人拋售相關類股。對此,台灣人工智慧實驗室創辦人杜奕瑾表示,只要AI持續創造實際價值,台灣就是全世界最好合作的夥伴。需求不會美國選後消失、只是會用不同方式存在。

杜奕瑾在臉書PO文表示,可以禁資料中心,擋不住AI的需求,最近美國期中選舉,華爾街開始質疑AI資料中心的龐大投資。電力不足、土地爭議、環境衝擊、地方政府反對,甚至出現限制或暫停興建資料中心的呼聲。市場開始擔心,科技巨頭投入數千億美元的AI基礎建設,是否終將成為一場泡沫?

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杜奕瑾指出,今天演講、適逢全球性股災,有人問到相關問題,杜奕瑾就反問了一個問題,「如果政府禁止新的資料中心的建立,你會停止使用AI嗎?」這個問題就像很多人會不喜歡基地台蓋在家裡旁邊、但是不可能讓手機沒有訊號,資料中心是算力供給,AI是硬需求。限制供給,不等於需求消失,這是理解下一波AI產業變革最重要的關鍵。

杜奕瑾續指,禁止蓋電廠,不代表人類不需要電,一百多年前,電力開始改變人類社會。工廠需要電、家庭需要電、城市需要電。即使某個城市因為污染、土地或安全問題拒絕興建電廠,也不代表這座城市從此不需要電力,電廠不斷地改善對環境以及周邊的影響、搬到其他地方,輸電網路不斷擴張,發電技術持續進步。電力逐漸成為現代文明不可或缺的基礎設施。

杜奕瑾分析,AI正在經歷相似的歷史,當AI開始參與軟體開發、醫療診斷、金融分析、科學研究、工業製造、國防安全與日常決策,算力就不再只是科技公司的投資項目,而是整個社會生產力的一部分,你可以因為能源環保等各種原因、反對資料中心的選址,卻很難要求自己放棄使用ChatGPT、醫院放棄AI診斷工具、科學家放棄AI研究能力。

杜奕瑾補充,資料中心不建,需求卻會尋找出口,如果美國某個州限制資料中心建設,會發生什麼事?企業可能轉往其他州,尋找電價較低、電網容量充足、土地取得容易的地方。如果美國整體建設成本提高,部分投資可能轉往加拿大、歐洲、中東或亞洲,如果集中式大型集中式資料中心面臨限制,也可能加速投資聯邦分散式運算、邊緣AI、企業內部算力,以及更有效率的晶片架構,供給方法受到限制,與AI產業失去需求,是兩件完全不同的事。

杜奕瑾說,台灣關鍵角色正在提升,未來十年的AI發展,不會只有模型參數、GPU數量或晶片製程,更深層的競爭,是能源、電網、先進半導體、記憶體、散熱、網路與資料治理的整體能力,先進製程能夠提供能源高效、可信任的晶片供應鏈與安全運算環境的國家,將在AI時代取得重要戰略地位。這也是台灣不可忽視的機會。

杜奕瑾直言,台灣不僅擁有全球關鍵的先進半導體製造能力,也在AI伺服器、記憶體相關供應鏈、網路設備、電源管理與散熱技術中扮演重要角色,只要AI持續創造實際價值,台灣就是全世界最好合作的夥伴。需求不會美國選後消失、只是會用不同方式存在。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 若美國多州限制資料中心建設,部分AI基礎建設投資可能轉往加拿大、歐洲、中東或亞洲。

    Likely · Within months

  • 台灣在AI伺服器、記憶體供應鏈、網路設備、電源管理與散熱技術方面的角色將進一步提升。

    Possible · Within years

Open Questions

  • 哪些美國州份正在考慮限制或暫停資料中心建設?
  • 台灣人工智慧實驗室具體將如何與美國或其他國家的AI產業合作?
  • 若投資轉往加拿大、歐洲、中東或亞洲,台灣具體能獲得多少投資機會?

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