Alberta voters reject plan for referendum to leave Canada

Voters in Canada’s Alberta have overwhelmingly rejected a proposal to begin a process towards independence, delivering a victory for the prime minister, Mark Carney, and supporters of Canadian unity.

With more than 1.5m votes counted, 76% supported remaining in Canada, while close to 24% backed beginning a process toward separation, according to unofficial results from Elections Alberta.

Carney, who grew up in Edmonton, said: “Albertans made a clear choice. They chose unity, to build together, and to take care of each other. Above all, Albertans chose Canada.”

He said the result would allow Canadians to move forward together and accelerate efforts to diversify trade, develop major infrastructure projects and make Canada a global energy powerhouse, with Alberta at its centre.

Alberta’s separatists, however, saw a silver lining. “We don’t have the final results. I think the numbers are going to fluctuate, but it is fair to say that at least a quarter of Albertans feel that Alberta needs to be treated better,” said Keith Wilson, a leader of the separatist movement.

The Alberta premier, Danielle Smith, welcomed the early results, saying they showed widespread support for remaining in Canada. “Albertans have voted for a stronger Alberta in a united Canada,” Smith posted on social media.

Even though the vote was not explicitly about independence – a point that frustrated separatists – the ballot question nonetheless exposed divisions in Alberta’s politics and raised questions about the durability of national unity.

Delays at roughly 100 of the 1,400 at polling stations across the province pushed results back by more than two hours, but shortly after polls closed on Monday evening the results suggested a decisive win for those looking to remain in Canada.

The separation question – whether to remain in Canada or begin a legal process that could lead to a second vote – was one of 10 put to Albertans on Monday. The others covered issues including immigration, healthcare, education and the province’s constitutional powers. Elections Alberta said the remaining results could take days to count.

In the days leading up to the vote, provincial leaders and federal politicians crisscrossed the province to make the case for a unified country.

Carney warned against a vote from residents of the oil-rich province simply looking to “send a message” to the federal government. “A vote against Canada is a dangerous bluff that will lead to years of deep uncertainty and lost opportunities for Albertans and Canadians,” he told an energetic crowd last week.

The Conservative leader, Pierre Poilievre, whose parliamentary seat is in the province, told a crowd of supporters that Albertans were not “quitters”.

“To those people who are thinking about taking out their frustration on the current government by voting for separation in the referendum, I say this: Canada is more than a government,” he said. “It is a people, a flag, a land, a history and a promise.”

Data from Elections Alberta indicated roughly 43% of eligible voters – or 1.3 million Albertans – had already cast ballots before Monday’s vote through advance voting and mail-in ballots. That figure pointed to a potentially higher turnout than the province’s last referendum in 2021.

Smith’s tenure as leader of the United Conservative party is due in large part to separatists within the party who ousted her predecessor, Jason Kenney. In recent months she has tried to placate both the separatists and federalists in the party, in a province where a majority is not interested in secession.

The referendum became a political liability for Smith’s party, whose popular support has tumbled in recent months, including with the loss of a one-time conservative stronghold in a byelection.

Still, members of the separatist movement told the Guardian they would continue their push for independence.

In an interview before the results, the Calgary mayor, Jeromy Farkas, a staunch opponent of the independence movement, said the city’s “best future is here, as a Canadian city,” amid fears that uncertainty could lead to capital flight.

“I am Canadian because I’m Canadian, not in a transactional way and regardless of the flavour of prime minister,” Farkas said. “And I’m going to continue to make the case for how our future is strongest together, because no result will permanently put this to bed. “The separatist movement sees this as a long-term project.”