AI-generated summary
Gold prices are falling due to the strength of the dollar and US Treasury bond yields. Investors are waiting for US employment data for clues on the direction of the Fed's interest rate policy.
Gold fell on Friday, poised for its second straight weekly loss, weighed down by a strengthening dollar and higher US Treasury bond yields.
Investors are waiting for U.S. employment data for clues about the Fed's monetary policy path.
Spot gold fell 0.6 percent to $4,154.78 per ounce and lost more than 3 percent in value throughout the week. US gold futures contracts decreased by 0.4 percent to $4,184.
While the dollar's weekly rise made gold priced in dollars more expensive for investors using other currencies, 10- and 30-year US Treasury bond yields rose to their highest levels since 2002 on Thursday.
Capital.com Senior Financial Market Analyst Kyle Rodda stated that the market is monitoring US interest rate expectations and geopolitical developments in the Middle East. Rodda said that US non-farm employment data is critical for interest rate expectations and that a strong data could increase the possibility of the Fed increasing interest rates and increase the pressure on gold prices.
US non-farm employment data for September will be announced at 15.30 GMT. Data released on Wednesday showed that inflation in the United States rose below expectations in August and that price pressures in the previous month were more moderate than previously reported.
While the expectation in the markets that the Fed will increase interest rates this month has decreased from approximately 70 percent at the beginning of the week to 25 percent, the probability of an interest rate increase in December is priced at 79 percent. Fed officials made statements this week that they should wait for more data before deciding on a new interest rate increase.
It was reported that Iran is preparing to give a more comprehensive and strong response if the USA restarts large-scale military attacks, but it also continues its diplomatic initiatives.
In other precious metals, spot silver decreased by 0.5 percent to $60.53, platinum decreased by 0.4 percent to $1,716.93, while palladium increased by 0.1 percent to $1,172.80. All three metals are poised for weekly losses.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Fed will not raise interest rates this month
Likely · Within weeks
There is a high probability of an interest rate increase in December
Likely · Within months

Tomato export quota between Türkiye and Russia was reopened by moving the start date of the 20 thousand tons annual quota for 2026 from January 1 to August 1. Starting from August 1, Turkish producers will be able to export tomatoes until the quota is filled. In addition, the general quota applied to tomato imports originating from Türkiye was increased from 500 thousand tons to 600 thousand tons. These regulations were implemented as a result of negotiations between the Ministry of Commerce and the Moscow Commercial Counselor's Office.
U.S. President Donald Trump may step up pressure on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and two other governors, but an audit report into the cost overrun on the Fed's Washington headquarters renovation project showed it found insufficient evidence of criminal charges or administrative irregularities. The report highlighted deficiencies in project management and contract processes.

The Capital Markets Board (CMB) announced the details of the interim payment decision for the funds in liquidation with the announcement published on October 1, 2026. Money market funds (PPF) will primarily be paid up to 1 million TL in principal and each fund will be evaluated separately. It was decided to make interim payments to the investors of the funds established by Tera, Pusula, Atlas and Hedef Portföy, without waiting for the final liquidation. Payments will be made through Ziraat and İş Bank and a special account has been opened for those who earn exorbitant income.
Scott Bessent, who replaced US Energy Secretary Janet Yellen, stated that US President Donald Trump has fulfilled his commitment to ensure the stability of global energy markets and asked European partners to accelerate their existing commitments and immediately bring additional diesel supply to the market. While Bessent emphasized that American farmers, truckers and businesses should not bear the brunt of the global diesel shortage, Trump also said at his Texas rally that he might ask European countries to release their diesel stocks.

An increase of 4.65 lira was applied to LPG, whose liter price increased by 1.45 lira with the increase in Special Consumption Tax on October 1, effective from midnight. After the last increase, the liter price in metropolitan cities exceeded 40 lira and became 41.29 lira in Ankara, 41.20 lira in Istanbul European Side and Izmir, and 40.60 lira in Istanbul Anatolian Side. Gasoline and diesel prices remained unchanged.

DEVA Party Chairman Ali Babacan stated that the CMB and Borsa Istanbul managements should be changed in the evaluations regarding the fund crisis. While Babacan suggested the dismissal of the heads of supervisory institutions, he said that the board chaired by Vice President Cevdet Yılmaz could not manage a crisis of this scale with its part-time working structure. He also emphasized that the measures that should have been taken before the crisis were incomplete and that it would be beneficial to carry out joint supervision of the judiciary, the State Supervisory Board and the Parliament.