AI-generated summary
The dollar has fallen from an 18-month high, making assets priced in dollars, such as gold, cheaper. Investors are evaluating whether the Fed will raise interest rates again this year.
Gold rose on Thursday as the dollar retreated from an 18-month high.
While the weakening of the dollar supports the recovery of the precious metal from the bottom of two months, investors are evaluating whether the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates again this year.
Spot gold rose 0.5 percent to $4,132.66 per ounce. Gold prices had hit their lowest level since August 5 on Wednesday, under the pressure of the strong dollar and rising US Treasury bond yields.
US gold contracts for December delivery rose 0.4 percent to $4,157.60.
The decline of the dollar supported the demand for gold priced in dollars. Thus, gold became cheaper for investors using other currencies.
Pepperstone Research President Chris Weston said, "Gold's short-term investment story is still challenging. For now, the market is under sellers' control and we think $4,275 needs to be exceeded to be more positive about the short-term rise."
Weston stated that if the rise in long-term bond yields begins to be seen as a reflection of credit and fiscal policy risks of states rather than strong economic fundamentals, gold may diverge positively from bond yields and the "protection against currency depreciation" theme may gain strength again.
Fed officials were divided on the rationale for raising rates last month. According to the meeting minutes, some officials thought that an interest rate increase was necessary to limit the impact of energy and other price shocks, while a more hawkish group argued that the interest rate increase was necessary to counter the emerging demand-driven inflation.
According to CME FedWatch data, investors price the possibility of an interest rate increase this month as 18 percent, while they see the probability of an interest rate increase in December as 80 percent.
High interest rates reduce the appeal of gold, which does not generate interest.
International Monetary Fund (IMF) President Kristalina Georgieva stated that the global economy is under threat due to high energy prices, record public debt and risks arising from the boom in artificial intelligence investments. Georgieva called on governments to take protective measures in fiscal and monetary policies.
In other precious metals, spot silver increased by 0.4 percent to $60.36, platinum increased by 1.8 percent to $1,660.05, and palladium increased by 1.6 percent to $1,142.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Fed will raise interest rates at least once more this year
Likely · Within months
A more positive trend may begin if gold prices break above $4,275 in the short term
Possible · Within weeks

Gold prices rose to $4,132.66 per ounce due to the depreciation of the dollar and lower yields. Pepperstone research head Chris Weston stated that the short-term outlook is challenging and said that it needs to break above the $ 4,275 level. IMF President Kristalina Georgieva warned that there are risks in the global economy due to high energy prices, public debt and the rapid increase in artificial intelligence investments.
Minister of Treasury and Finance Mehmet Şimşek stated that Türkiye continues its reforms, will increase its defense expenditures almost 9 times, and defense and R&D expenditures will be over 100 billion dollars. He also emphasized that they aim to increase service trade and that artificial intelligence carries a serious question mark and potential.

The EU aims to increase its revenues to avoid a new trade conflict with US President Donald Trump. The European Commission is considering imposing a more comprehensive corporate tax that would apply to all companies operating in the EU, rather than targeting large technology companies, the Financial Times reported, citing officials. Some capitals oppose a fully digital tax, and expanding the tax to cover almost all large companies could be the solution, an EU official said.
Copper prices rose up to 1.2 percent on the London Metal Exchange as markets reopened after China's one-week holiday. The strike at the Centinela mine in Chile and the US Federal Reserve's interest rate policy expectations also supported prices.
The Competition Authority decided to conduct a preliminary investigation into the allegation that Adkoturk violated the Law on the Protection of Competition by abusing its dominant position in the instant noodle market, forcing its competitors, excluding them from the market, determining resale prices and imposing restrictions on its dealers, and decided to open an investigation. Additionally, it was decided not to provide commercial advantages such as free product distribution, delist, activity budget and visibility support as a temporary measure until the final decision.

Responding to the allegations of depositing and withdrawing money to investment funds, Minister of Finance Şahan Bolat stated that the savings statements are already in the hands of the state and that the savings of 37.8 million TL were deposited in the sukuk account in Hedef Yatırım Portföy in 2024. There was no buying or selling there and there was no crypto or foreign investment.