
Growth of four percentage points compared to December 2024, with variations between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro voters
AI-generated summary
The Datafolha survey has measured support for democracy in Brazil since 1989, after redemocratization. The lowest historical rate was 42% in February 1992 and the highest was 79% in October 2022.
Democracy is seen as the best form of government by 73% of Brazilians, according to a Datafolha survey released this Friday (2). This is an increase compared to December 2024, the last time the institute asked voters about the topic and 69% said they preferred democracy.
For 15% of those interviewed by the institute, it doesn't matter whether the government is a democracy or a dictatorship, while 7% said that, in certain circumstances, a dictatorship is preferable to a democratic regime. Another 5% were unable to answer and 1% provided other answers.
Datafolha interviewed 2,506 voters aged 16 or over, distributed across 152 Brazilian municipalities, between September 29th and October 1st. The margin of error is plus or minus two percentage points. The research was commissioned by Folha and TV Globo and registered with the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) under number BR-08039/2026.
The lowest number in the historical series, which began in 1989 after the country's redemocratization, occurred in February 1992, when 42% were in favor of the democratic regime. The highest (79%) was in October 2022, in the last presidential election.
Support for democracy is 76% among voters for Lula (PT), and 74% among those for Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), candidates who appear ahead of the last Datafolha for the presidential election.
Among those who support Lula, those who defend the dictatorship in some circumstances represent 5%. Among Flávio voters, the rate is 9%.
The proportion of men in favor of democracy (78%) is higher than among women (68%), and also higher in the age group between 35 and 44 years old (78%) compared to those between 25 and 34 years old (68%).
The result occurs at a time when the possibility of foreign intervention in the Brazilian elections is being monitored, in particular interference by Donald Trump, president of the United States, to favor Flávio.
A few months ago, Brazil became the focus of the Rockbridge Network, a private right-wing American group founded by the Vice President of the United States, J.D. Vance. Two businesspeople linked to the group helped Flávio with support services for his candidacy and advice on the sale of artificial intelligence infrastructure.
Documents about the group's installation in the country even deal with the presidential election.
Renan Santos, Missão's presidential candidate, accuses Flávio of having his campaign financed by Rockbridge and foreign businessmen interested in the exploration of rare earths. The PT also filed representations against the group in the Electoral Court.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The TSE will deepen investigations into the financing of Flávio Bolsonaro's campaign by Rockbridge Network.
Likely · Within weeks
The debate about foreign interference in Brazilian elections will gain more prominence in the media in the coming weeks.
Very likely · Within days

Energisa, in partnership with the Electoral Court, carries out inspections and preventive maintenance on the electrical network that serves 188 voting locations in Presidente Prudente (SP) and the region, with pruning of branches and lifting of generators, aiming to guarantee the supply of energy during the elections this Sunday (4), given the forecast of rain for the weekend.

The United States embassy in Brazil suspended in-person services in Brasília and at consulates across the country this Friday (2), two days before the first round of elections, citing security concerns. The measure occurs in the context of an investigation by the Federal Police into an alleged plan against the embassy, with search and seizure warrants executed in São Paulo and Águas Lindas (GO). The Australian embassy also announced closure for security reasons, with no signs of a direct threat.

The 2026 electoral campaign began on August 16 across Brazil, allowing candidates to hold rallies, walk walks and publicize proposals. In Mato Grosso, Dr. Natasha, Rafael Milas, Sergeant Laudicério and Wellington Fagundes fulfilled agendas in Cuiabá and Várzea Grande, participating in mobilizations, meetings and dialogues with the population.
The Superior Electoral Court (TSE) decided that votes for Anthony Garotinho, a candidate revoked by the Clean Record Law, should be considered null and void in the elections. The decision occurs in the context of debates about the voting order, Prohibition rules on election days, Datafolha research on preference for democracy, competition in the Chamber of Deputies with salaries above R$32 thousand and the PF operation against an alleged plan to attack the US embassy in Brazil.

Candidates for the Government of Piauí completed campaign agendas this Friday (2) in Teresina, Parnaíba and São Raimundo Nonato, with walks, leafleting, interviews and participation in religious and political events. The first round of elections is scheduled for October 4th.

The candidate for the government of Bahia, ACM Neto (União Brasil), declared that public safety and health are the two main priorities of a possible government, during a walk in Salvador this Friday afternoon (2). He stated that he intends to focus on combating violence and reducing the regulatory queue, in addition to showing confidence in the electoral campaign.