
AI-generated summary
The US Federal Reserve had previously raised interest rates to combat inflation. Current labor market data shows mixed signals, fueling speculation about a pause in interest rates.
Singapore. The prospect of an interest rate break in the USA drove the Asian stock markets at the start of the week. In Tokyo, the Nikkei index, which includes 225 stocks, rose by 2.5 percent to 70,038 points on Monday. The broader Topix was 1.2 percent higher at 4,139 points.
However, trading volume was low because the Shanghai Stock Exchange was closed for a holiday. The index of major companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen was also not traded. Trade was also halted in South Korea and parts of Australia.
"Labor market conditions are stable overall, but Friday's downward revisions signal that the U.S. economy lost jobs in two of the nine months this year," said Jose Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers. The risk of further job losses means the Fed cannot raise interest rates by another 100 basis points.
This development made the Japanese indices the clear winners of the Asian trading day. Investors are now pricing in just a 22 percent chance of a rate hike this month, down from 64 percent last week. Since there was a lack of company-specific news as well as winners and losers in individual stocks due to the holidays in China, the Asian markets primarily followed the positive guidance from the US stock exchanges.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The Fed will not raise interest rates this month.
Likely · Within weeks
Despite record government subsidies, housing construction in Bavaria is not getting off the ground. The Bavarian construction industry and the association of housing companies are calling for a fundamental simplification of building regulations and administration in a ten-point program in order to make building cheaper and speed up the work of the building authorities.

The financial investor Lone Star expects several binding offers for IKB starting this week. Helaba is planning an offer of around 600 million euros, which is around 0.6 times the book value of IKB. However, other interested parties signaled that they would pay a price closer to book value. The sale is contingent on a bidder providing a price satisfactory to Lone Star.

At the Expo Real in Munich, over 400 exhibitors surveyed showed a significantly more pessimistic mood than last year: only 23 percent are optimistic about the future, while 95 percent cite the economic and political situation in their home countries as dampening their mood and 93 percent cite increased loan interest rates as the reason. Despite the cautiousness of institutional investors, some market players see entry opportunities, particularly in prime locations such as Munich, Hamburg and Frankfurt, as well as in energy-efficient buildings and the planned 'building type E'. International investors continue to show interest, with Germany taking fourth place in the cross-border real estate investment rankings.

Germany and France are pushing for a new EU trade instrument that would allow the Commission to exclude Chinese companies from the European single market within a few days. The aim is to get China to make concessions in the trade dispute and to protect the EU from economic blackmail. The project is based on concerns that China could respond to EU protective measures by banning the export of critical raw materials.

The new e-car bonus has so far been paid out to 100,000 applicants, as confirmed by Federal Environment Minister Carsten Schneider. The funding is aimed particularly at low- and middle-income households and is intended to reduce dependence on oil imports.

Bernd Beetz, co-owner of the insolvent Galeria department store chain, criticizes the management for the fourth bankruptcy filing within six years and calls for a faster transformation with stronger merchandise management, a clear product range strategy and customer-oriented management.