2026/2027年冬季全国气温总体偏高,但寒潮频次略偏多,冷暖起伏大
中国气象局3日表示,受有监测记录以来最强的厄尔尼诺事件影响,预计2026/2027年冬季中国气温整体偏高,但寒潮频次略偏多,冷暖起伏大,北方强降温降雪、南方阶段性低温雨雪冰冻风险突出。
AI-generated summary
受赤道中东太平洋超强厄尔尼诺事件影响,国家气候中心对2026/2027年冬季中国气候趋势做出预测。
中新社北京11月3日电 (记者 陈溯)记者3日从中国气象局获悉,受有监测记录以来最强厄尔尼诺事件影响,预计今冬(2026/2027年冬季)中国气温整体偏高。
当天,中国气象局召开新闻发布会,介绍近期中国气候趋势。监测显示,今年10月,全国平均气温11.1℃,较常年同期偏高0.6℃,月内,6次冷空气过程影响中国,较常年同期偏多2.4次;10月,全国平均降水量35.3毫米,接近常年同期(35.7毫米),降水空间分布不均,西南部分地区气象干旱持续。
国家气候中心副主任高荣在发布会上表示,2026年9月,赤道中东太平洋形成一次超强厄尔尼诺事件,10月已发展为有监测记录以来最强的厄尔尼诺事件,预计秋末冬初达到峰值,将对中国今冬明春气候产生明显影响。
“预计2026/2027年冬季,全国气温总体偏高,但寒潮频次略偏多,气温冷暖起伏大,北方强降温降雪、南方阶段性低温雨雪冰冻风险突出。”高荣表示,除内蒙古东北部、东北地区西部气温偏低外,全国其余大部地区气温接近常年同期到偏高,并呈现前冬冷、后冬暖的特点,今年12月和明年1月阶段性强降温和强升温事件频繁。全国降水总体偏多,北方大部地区强降雪过程多发,南方降水显著偏多,其中华东西南部、华中中南部、华南地区北部、西南地区东部等地有阶段性低温雨雪冰冻天气。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
2026/2027年冬季中国气温总体偏高但冷暖起伏大
Likely · Within months
On November 3, Harbin ushered in the first significant snowfall this winter, and the city was covered in silver. The Heilongjiang Provincial Meteorological Observatory issued a road icing warning and a heavy snowfall weather forecast. It is expected that there will be heavy snow or blizzard in parts of Heilongjiang from the 4th to the 6th, which will have a great impact on traffic and travel.
The 2026 Global Panda Partners Conference was held in Chengdu from November 2 to 4. With the theme of "Protecting Pandas' Homeland Together, Building a Beautiful World Together, and Sharing Open Opportunities", it attracted hundreds of experts from more than 30 countries and regions to gather to discuss ecological protection and green development.

The Forestry Conservation Service of the Ministry of Agriculture launched the natural carbon sink and biodiversity project matching platform in 2024. In the past three years, it has connected 50 companies to participate in 60 projects, with a total investment of 114.31 million yuan. It is estimated that it can create carbon reduction benefits of 842 metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent per year, and conserve 12 species of plants and 28 species of animals.

Singapore will work with Asean member states to strengthen implementation of the transboundary haze agreement when it chairs the bloc next year, and will help establish the Asean Coordinating Centre for Transboundary Haze Pollution Control in Indonesia, Environment Minister Grace Fu said in parliament.

Gao Rong, deputy director of the National Climate Center, said that four cold air processes are expected to affect our country in November, with the frequency close to the same period in normal years and the intensity being "strong at first and weak at the end." There will be two cold air processes in the next two weeks. From the 5th to the 7th, it will affect Inner Mongolia, Northeast China, North China, and northern Jiangnan. The temperature will drop by 4°C to 8°C, with local temperatures exceeding 10°C. From the 12th to the 16th, it will mainly affect Xinjiang, northwest, North China, Northeast China, Huanghuai and other places. In the northern region, there are risks of meteorological disasters such as periodic low temperatures, strong winds and frosts. In many places, there is excessive precipitation, and there is a strong risk of periodic rain and snow disasters.

China Weather Network reports that rainfall will increase and intensify in the south from November 3 to 4, with local heavy rains; a new round of rainfall is coming from November 6 to 8, and heavy rains may occur in some areas of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. The meteorological department reminds to guard against secondary disasters and traffic safety risks caused by continuous rainfall.