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Back應對美國、以色列潛在攻擊 伊朗仍有上看千枚彈道飛彈
應對美國、以色列潛在攻擊 伊朗仍有上看千枚彈道飛彈
Developing
自由时报1 hour agoDefense2 min readChinaView translation

應對美國、以色列潛在攻擊 伊朗仍有上看千枚彈道飛彈

Quick Look

傳美國與以色列擬於期中選舉後對伊朗重啟轟炸,伊朗最高國家安全委員會秘書雷札伊揚言,若衝突再起,將針對敵方的電纜、資料中心及人工智慧設施等經濟支柱進行極端報復。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

美國與以色列可能在期中選舉後對伊朗採取軍事行動,伊朗則強調其擁有彈道飛彈及地下生產能力。

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美國與以色列11月3日期中選舉後重啟轟炸伊朗的傳言甚囂塵上。德黑蘭表明將對美以的新一波軍事行動採取極端報復策略。華爾街日報引述分析,伊朗握有的彈道飛彈尚有數百至數千枚之多。且美國和區域官員認為,德黑蘭利用零組件庫存,在地下設施重啟生產數量有限的彈道飛彈。

華府智庫「國際政策中心」伊朗專家圖西(Sina Toossi)指出,伊朗如今的共識為「嚇阻需要的是對敵人施加立即、持續且重大代價」;「華盛頓研究所」高階研究員納迪米(Farzin Nadimi)表示,德黑蘭也得將美國與以色列的類似報復行動納入考量,「他們顯然具有能力對區域的能源、網路建設造成重大損害」、「但要是這麼做,伊朗也非常可能在對等回擊中損失自身(基礎建設)。」

衛報報導,伊朗媒體引述最高國家安全委員會(SNSC)秘書雷札伊(Mohsen Rezaei)說法,若衝突再起,伊朗將制定更廣泛的因應計畫,屆時電纜、資料中心和人工智慧設施皆可能成為目標。他強調,伊朗經濟生命線受到攻擊的情況下,不會讓這些攻擊行動背後的經濟支柱倖免於難。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 伊朗將針對美以的基礎設施進行報復

    Possible · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 美以是否確實已制定具體轟炸計畫?
  • 伊朗具體的報復手段為何?

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