Bitcoin seeks support above $81K as Brent crude oil hits highest level since March
US stocks fall and bond yields cool as market risk aversion rises amid Middle East tensions.
Quick Look
- Bitcoin fell below $81,000 during Friday's US market open as Brent crude reached $116 per barrel.
- Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and concerns over US-Iran conflict triggered a market-wide shift toward risk aversion.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
Bitcoin is testing its 50-day simple moving average amid broader market volatility. Brent crude oil prices have reached seven-month highs due to concerns over Middle East stability.
Bitcoin (BTC) saw a fresh dip below $81,000 after Friday’s Wall Street open as Brent crude oil set new seven-month highs.
Key points:
Bitcoin briefly dropped below $81,000 at the start of Friday’s US trading session as stocks drifted lower and the US 10-year yield remained below 5%.
Brent crude oil reached $116 per barrel for the first time since March 19 amid Middle East tensions.
BTC price action focused on reclaiming its 50-day simple moving average at $81,781.
US stocks slip, bond yields cool as oil surges
Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD falling to $80,988 before recovering to around $81,600 at the time of writing.
US stocks opened lower as AI-sector expenditure woes coincided with a surge in oil prices on the back of tensions around the US-Iran war.
The S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index were down 0.6% and 0.2%, respectively, at the time of writing. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was 1.4% lower.
As traders turned risk-averse, the 10-year US bond yield stayed below 5%, having reached 4.939% on Thursday, their lowest since Sept. 23.
Concerns that the US may renew military strikes on Iran around the midterm elections sent WTI crude oil past $102 per barrel on Friday. This is the highest level since Sept. 16. Brent crude saw an even sharper rise of nearly 3% to $116 per barrel, a level last seen in mid-March.
Commenting, economist Robin Brooks noted that prices were rising although oil flows through the Persian Gulf approached pre-war levels for many nations and Saudi Arabia surpassed its pre-war average.
“Since the start of the war, we’ve not seen this kind of decoupling between prices and flows,” he wrote in analysis on the day, seeing markets incorporating a “huge risk premium.”
BTC price analysis eyes 50-day trend line
Commenting on low-timeframe BTC price action, Keith Alan, cofounder of crypto trading platform Material Indicators, saw the potential for lower support retests to come.
BTC/USD, he noted, had fallen below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $81,781, with bulls now attempting to reclaim it by the daily close.
“If they fail to do so by tonight’s close, I’m looking for a support test in the $78k - $80k range,” he told X followers.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Support test in the $78k - $80k range if 50-day SMA is not reclaimed.
Possible · Within days
Open Questions
- Will Bitcoin reclaim the 50-day SMA by the daily close?
- Will oil prices sustain the current risk premium?
